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. 2021 May 7;224(11):1925–1934. doi: 10.1093/infdis/jiab223

Table 3.

Variables Influencing HIV Decay

Variable Estimate (95% CI) P Value
Parametric coefficients
Intercept 2.12 (1.8 to 2.43) <.0001
Infant sex 0.004 (−.28 to .29) .98
Blipsa 0.12 (−.31 to .55) .6
Documented cART nonadherenceb −0.08 (−.22 to .06) .3
PoC tested 0.16 (−.34 to .66) .5
Approximate significance of smooth terms EDF P Value
cART duration, d 3.19 <.0001
Infant age at cART initiation, d 1.00 .80
Infant age suppressed, wk 1.00 .0003
Plasma viral load, log10 HIV RNA copies/mL over time 1.00 <.0001
CD4 percentage over time 2.02 .3

Generalized additive mixed model adjusted R2 = 0.86.

Abbreviations: cART, combination antiretroviral therapy; CI, confidence interval; EDF, effective degrees of freedom; HIV, human immunodeficiency virus; PoC, point-of-care tested.

aA blip was defined as one plasma viral load >100 HIV RNA copies/mL preceded and followed by an undetectable plasma viral load, or a plasma viral load that increased <1 log10 HIV RNA copies/mL between consecutive monthly measurements during initial viremia decline.

bEvidence or reports of missing ≥2 doses.