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. 2021 Sep 17;10(18):e021417. doi: 10.1161/JAHA.121.021417

Table 2.

Clinical Outcomes

End points Rhythm N of patients with event (cumulative 5‐y incidence) Unadjusted HR [95% CI] P value Adjusted HR [95% CI] P value
All‐cause death Newly diagnosed AF 202 (38.8%) 2.42 [2.08–2.81] <0.001 1.31 [1.12–1.54] <0.001
Prior AF 255 (40.7%) 2.47 [2.16–2.83] <0.001 1.32 [1.14–1.52] <0.001
No AF 1080 (18.7%) Reference Reference
Cardiovascular death Newly diagnosed AF 135 (27.7%) 2.61 [2.17–3.14] <0.001 1.29 [1.06–1.57] 0.01
Prior AF 168 (30.0%) 2.65 [2.24–3.14] <0.001 1.34 [1.12–1.60] 0.001
No AF 640 (11.8%) Reference Reference
Myocardial infarction Newly diagnosed AF 31 (7.0%) 1.06 [0.74–1.53] 0.74 1.01 [0.70–1.48] 0.94
Prior AF 49 (9.3%) 1.37 [1.02–1.85] 0.04 1.16 [0.85–1.58] 0.36
No AF 369 (7.1%) Reference Reference
Stroke Newly diagnosed AF 60 (15.5%) 2.64 [2.02–3.44] <0.001 2.05 [1.56–2.69] <0.001
Prior AF 56 (12.9%) 1.93 [1.47–2.54] <0.001 1.33 [1.00–1.78] 0.048
No AF 284 (6.3%) Reference Reference
Ischemic stroke Newly diagnosed AF 50 (12.7%) 2.61 [1.93–3.54] <0.001 1.95 [1.42–2.68] <0.001
Prior AF 51 (10.8%) 2.13 [1.58–2.89] <0.001 1.45 [1.06–1.99] 0.02
No AF 251 (4.7%) Reference Reference
Hemorrhagic stroke Newly diagnosed AF 17 (3.2%) 2.37 [1.42–3.97] 0.001 2.08 [1.22–3.54] 0.007
Prior AF 11 (2.5%) 1.23 [0.66–2.29] 0.52 0.90 [0.47–1.71] 0.74
No AF 97 (1.9%) Reference Reference
Hospitalization for heart failure Newly diagnosed AF 79 (19.9%) 2.58 [2.03–3.28] <0.001 1.73 [1.35–2.22] <0.001
Prior AF 136 (28.0%) 3.63 [2.99–4.40] <0.001 2.23 [1.82–2.74] <0.001
No AF 431 (8.0%) Reference Reference
Major bleeding Newly diagnosed AF 323 (35.9%) 2.14 [1.81–2.52] <0.001 1.46 [1.23–1.73] <0.001
Prior AF 189 (34.0%) 1.93 [1.65–2.26] <0.001 1.36 [1.15–1.60] <0.001
No AF 1010 (19.4%) Reference Reference
Any coronary revascularization Newly diagnosed AF 110 (28.1%) 0.93 [0.76–1.13] 0.44 0.89 [0.73–1.09] 0.27
Prior AF 122 (25.0%) 0.79 [0.66–0.95] 0.01 0.77 [0.63–0.93] 0.01
No AF 1514 (31.1%) Reference Reference

Cumulative incidence was estimated by Kaplan‐Meier method, and was represented with that at 5‐year. Number of patients with event and HRs with 95% CIs were estimated throughout the entire follow‐up period by the Cox proportional hazard models. AF indicates atrial fibrillation; and HR, hazard ratio.