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. 2021 Dec 8;7(1):83. doi: 10.1186/s40854-021-00300-x

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© The Author(s) 2021

Open AccessThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

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Fig. 3 — Change in the probability of default for incremental change in COVID-19 cases and deaths (by loan ratings). Note: Figure presents marginal changes in the probability of default based on loan ratings. Calculations of marginal changes are based on the coefficients of logit regression as reported in Table 8. Marginal changes are for each incremental change in COVID-19 cases and deaths per million population in each country