Table 6:

Logistic Model

	(1)	(2)
	Standard Deviation of Mortality Index $\left({\gamma }_j+{\overline{\theta }}_j\right)$	Standard Deviation of Place Effects (γj)
Baseline	0.099 [0.095, 0.103]	0.054 [0.040, 0.069]
Logistic Model:
1-year mortality	0.062 [0.061, 0.063]	0.081 [0.071, 0.090]
2-year mortality	0.068 [0.068, 0.069]	0.073 [0.062, 0.079]
3-year mortality	0.077 [0.076, 0.077]	0.083 [0.076, 0.088]
4-year mortality	0.086 [0.086, 0.086]	0.082 [0.075, 0.089]

Notes: Column (1) reports the cross-CZ standard deviation of our mortality index. Row (1) reports results for the baseline Gompertz specification (See Table 3). For the baseline specification, the mortality index is age, race, and sex adjusted; for the logit specifications it is not. Furthermore, in the logit specifications, rather than a β · t term, five-year age bins are fully interacted with race and sex. Column (2) reports the cross-CZ standard deviation of our place effects. 95% confidence intervals are reported underneath the point estimates, and are computed with 100 replications of the Bayesian bootstrap. All standard deviations are computed using the split-sample approach, and all standard deviations in both columns give equal weight to each CZ.