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. 2021 Nov 27;65(1):3–13. doi: 10.1007/s00125-021-05585-2

Table 2.

Recent (2015 to 2021) publications with population-based data regarding trends in mortality in adults with diabetes

Country Study Year Data Denominator Numerator Findings
Brazil Malhão [8] 1980–2012 National vital statistics registry Population Age-standardised mortality

Increased (per 100,000 individuals) from 20.8 to 47.6 in men and from 28.7 to 47.2 in women

Largest increases were seen up to 2003–2005, then plateaued

Brazil Klafke [62] 1991–2010 National vital statistics registry Population Age-standardised mortality (all-cause and due to acute complications) Decreased from 8.4 to 2.5 per 100,000 individuals
Colombia Chaparro-Narváez [63] 1979–2017 National vital statistics registry Population Age-standardised mortality

1979–1999: increased (per 100,000 individuals) from 13.2 to 26.6 in women and from 10.1 to 22.7 in men

1999–2017: decreased (per 100,000 individuals) from 2.6 to 15.4 in women and from 22.7 to 15.9 in men

Argentina Hernández [64] 1990–2013 National vital statistics registry Population Age-standardised mortality

1990–2001: increased

2002–2013: decreased

Greater declines in women

Higher mortality over age 50

Ghana Sarfo-Kantanka [10] 1983–2014 Tertiary referral hospital (central Ghana) People with DM (11,414) In-hospital mortality Increased from 7.6 to 30.0 per 1000 deaths
South Africa Nojilana [9] 1997–2010 National vital statistics registry Deaths in 2010 (594,071) Cause-specific mortality

Increased to 52 per 100,000 deaths

Lower for White vs other groups

UK Pearson-Stuttard [13] 2011–2018 National primary care database People with DM (313,907) Age-standardised mortality (all-cause and DM-specific)

Decline in all-cause mortality in those with DM (31–32%); similar decline in non-DM

Cause-specific declines except for dementia and liver disease

USA Gregg [11] 1988–1994 to 2010–2015 National surveys linked to vital statistics People with and without DM Age-standardised mortality (all-cause and DM-specific)

All-cause mortality (per 1000 person-years) declined from 23.1 to 15.2

More marked declines for vascular, then cancer deaths

No decline in those aged < 45 years

China Li [65] 2003–2012 National vital statistics registry Population Age-standardised mortality

Decreasing

More marked in urban populations

Hong Kong Wu [12] 2001–2016 Electronic medical record diabetes registry People with DM (390,071 men, 380,007 women) Age-standardised mortality (all-cause and DM-specific)

All-cause mortality declined (per 100,000 individuals) from 3.3 to 1.7 in women and from 2.8 to 1.5 in men

No decline in those aged <45 years

Taiwan Li [66] 2005–2014 National health insurance linked to vital statistics People with DM Age-standardised mortality (all-cause and DM-specific)

All-cause mortality declined (per 100,000 individuals) from 3.1 to 2.7 in women and from 3.8 to 3.3 in men

Shorter life expectancy with earlier-onset DM

Australia Sacre [14] 2002–2014 National diabetes registry People with T2DM (1,268,018) Age-standardised mortality (all-cause and DM-specific)

Declines of 1.3–2.2% points per year

Declines more pronounced in middle and older ages

All-cause, CVD and cancer deaths declined

Pneumonia mortality remained stable

New Zealand Yu [16] 1994–2018 National primary care database People with T2DM (45,072) Age-standardised mortality (all-cause and DM-specific) Increased (per 1000 person-years) from 12.6 before 1998 to 19.4 in 1999–2003, and then decreased to 9.9 per 1000 person-years in 2014–2018
Global Ling [6] 2000–2016 WHO mortality database People with T1DM, T2DM or other DM from 108 countries (7,108,145 deaths) Mortality rates due to renal, ophthalmic, neurological and peripheral circulatory complications

Increased from 46.0 to 60.2 per 100,000 individuals (30.8%) in both men and women

Increased in T2DM and decreased in T1DM

Higher for renal, neurological and peripheral circulatory complications

Increased in all except Asia and South America (declined)

Global Zaccardi [7] 2000–2014 WHO mortality database People with DM Total and hypoglycaemia-related mortality

Increases (per 100,000 individuals) in total (from 912.5 to 1018.8) and hypoglycaemia-related deaths (from 654 to 1248)

Lowest and declining rates in Europe, USA, Canada, Japan, NZ and Australia

The literature included is composed of articles that reported data with international, national or at least subnational coverage and data sources such as registries or administrative/discharge records. This table does not include publications up to 2015 and is intended as an update to prior reviews [3]

DM, diabetes mellitus; NZ, New Zealand; T1DM, type 1 diabetes mellitus; T2DM, type 2 diabetes mellitus