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. 2021 Sep 8;40(27):6209–6234. doi: 10.1002/sim.9164

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© 2021 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

This article is being made freely available through PubMed Central as part of the COVID-19 public health emergency response. It can be used for unrestricted research re-use and analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source, for the duration of the public health emergency.

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SIM-9164-FIG-0006-c — A, Trace plot showing the value of each chain at each iteration (excluding warm‐up) and B, marginal posterior densities for the transmission rate (beta or $β$ ), the recovery rate (gamma or $γ$ ) and the inverse dispersion parameter (phi_inv or $1 / ϕ$ ), separately for each of the four Markov chains [Colour figure can be viewed at wileyonlinelibrary.com]