Table A3.
Linear probability models predicting nonmetro underemployment (yes=1), 1968–2017
| Base |
Region F.E. |
Demographic |
Full |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B | S.E. | B | S.E. | B | S.E. | B | S.E. | |
| Ethnorace | ||||||||
| White (ref.) | ||||||||
| Black | .143*** | .013 | .145*** | 0.013 | .095*** | .012 | .099*** | .012 |
| Hispanic | .143*** | .013 | .140*** | 0.013 | .086*** | .013 | .083*** | .013 |
| Other | .135*** | .017 | .129*** | 0.017 | .106*** | .016 | .100*** | .017 |
| Period | ||||||||
| 1968–1972 | −.032*** | .003 | −.032*** | 0.003 | −.083*** | .003 | −.083*** | .003 |
| 1973–1977 | −.020*** | .003 | −.019*** | 0.003 | −.073*** | .003 | −.072*** | .003 |
| 1978–1982 | −.008** | .003 | −.006 | 0.003 | −.058*** | .003 | −.057*** | .003 |
| 1983–1987 | .045*** | .004 | .046*** | 0.004 | −.006 | .004 | −.005 | .004 |
| 1988–1992 | .020*** | .003 | .020*** | 0.004 | −.016*** | .004 | −.016*** | .004 |
| 1993–1997 (ref.) | ||||||||
| 1998–2002 | −.041*** | .004 | −.041*** | 0.004 | −.035*** | .003 | −.036*** | .003 |
| 2003–2007 | −.034*** | .004 | −.034*** | 0.004 | −.029*** | .003 | −.029*** | .003 |
| 2008–2012 | .002 | .004 | .003 | 0.004 | 0.005 | .004 | .005 | .004 |
| 2013–2017 | −.023*** | .004 | −.023*** | 0.004 | −.022*** | .004 | −.022*** | .004 |
| Ethnorace*Period | ||||||||
| Black*68–72 | .073*** | .015 | .072*** | 0.015 | .075*** | .015 | .074*** | .015 |
| Black*73–77 | .028** | .016 | .028** | 0.016 | .030* | .015 | .030 | .015 |
| Black*78–82 | .044** | .016 | .043** | 0.016 | .045** | .015 | .043** | .015 |
| Black*83–87 | .053** | .016 | .053** | 0.016 | .051*** | .015 | .051*** | .015 |
| Black*88–92 | .044** | .017 | .044* | 0.017 | .039** | .016 | .039* | .016 |
| Black*93–97 (ref.) | ||||||||
| Black*98–02 | .000 | .017 | .000 | 0.017 | −.002 | .016 | −.003 | .016 |
| Black*03–07 | −.020 | .016 | −.021 | 0.016 | −.018 | .016 | −.019 | .016 |
| Black*08–12 | .017 | .017 | .016 | 0.017 | .017 | .016 | .016 | .016 |
| Black*13–17 | .017 | .018 | .015 | 0.018 | .019 | .017 | .018 | .017 |
| Hispanic*68–72 | −.070** | .026 | −.075** | 0.026 | −.047* | .025 | −.051* | .025 |
| Hispanic*73–77 | −.031 | .020 | −.034* | 0.020 | −.013 | .019 | −.016 | .019 |
| Hispanic*78–82 | −.054** | .178 | −.058*** | 0.018 | −.036* | .017 | −.040* | .017 |
| Hispanic*83–87 | −.014 | .019 | −.016 | 0.019 | .005 | .018 | .004 | .018 |
| Hispanic*88–92 | .006 | .020 | .007 | 0.020 | .019 | .019 | .019 | .019 |
| Hispanic*93–97 (ref.) | ||||||||
| Hispanic*98–02 | −.06** | .017 | −.044** | 0.017 | −.043** | .017 | −.042* | .017 |
| Hispanic*03–07 | −.039** | .016 | −.037** | 0.016 | −.034* | .016 | −.032* | .016 |
| Hispanic*08–12 | −.047** | .017 | −.046** | 0.017 | −.035* | .017 | −.034* | .017 |
| Hispanic*13–17 | −.085*** | .017 | −.085*** | 0.017 | −.084*** | .017 | −.083*** | .017 |
| Other*68–72 | −.025 | .033 | −.031 | 0.033 | −.022 | .032 | −.028 | .032 |
| Other*73–77 | .020 | .039 | .021 | 0.039 | .039 | .038 | .039 | .038 |
| Other*78–82 | −.025 | .027 | −.023 | 0.027 | −.015 | .027 | −.012 | .027 |
| Other*83–87 | .015 | .026 | .014 | 0.026 | .025 | .025 | .024 | .025 |
| Other*88–92 | −.030 | .024 | −.031 | 0.024 | −.016 | .023 | −.017 | .023 |
| Other*93–97 (ref.) | ||||||||
| Other*98–02 | −.031 | .024 | −.029 | 0.022 | −.036 | .021 | −.035 | .021 |
| Other*03–07 | −.042 | .020 | −.041 | 0.020 | −.051** | .019 | −.050 | .019 |
| Other*08–12 | −.056 | .21 | −.053 | 0.021 | −.060** | .020 | −.057 | .020 |
| Other*13–17 | −.017 | .22 | −.015 | 0.022 | −.025 | .021 | −.023 | .021 |
| Region | ||||||||
| New England (ref.) | ||||||||
| Middle Atlantic | .017*** | 0.003 | .013*** | .003 | ||||
| East North Central | .026*** | 0.003 | .020*** | .003 | ||||
| West North Central | .015*** | 0.003 | .008*** | .003 | ||||
| South Atlantic | .010*** | 0.003 | .000** | .003 | ||||
| East South Central | .037*** | 0.003 | .029 | .003 | ||||
| West South Central | .024*** | 0.003 | .015*** | .003 | ||||
| Mountain | .023*** | 0.003 | .017*** | .003 | ||||
| Pacific | .049*** | 0.004 | .042 | .004 | ||||
| Age | −.016 | .000 | −.016*** | .000 | ||||
| Age 2 | .000 | .000 | .000*** | .000 | ||||
| Female | .072 | .002 | .072*** | .002 | ||||
| Marital status | ||||||||
| Married (ref.) | ||||||||
| Never married | .101*** | .002 | .101*** | .002 | ||||
| Sep., div., wid. | .074*** | .002 | .074*** | .002 | ||||
| Education | ||||||||
| < high school (ref.) | ||||||||
| H.S. - < 4 yrs. coll. | −.089*** | .002 | −.089*** | .002 | ||||
| 4+ yrs. coll. | −.163*** | .002 | −.162*** | .002 | ||||
| Industry | ||||||||
| Extractive (ref.) | ||||||||
| Construction | .028*** | .004 | .029*** | .004 | ||||
| Durable manuf. | −.096*** | .003 | −.097*** | .003 | ||||
| Non-durable manuf. | −.076*** | .003 | −.074*** | .003 | ||||
| Trans. and comm. | −.095*** | .004 | −.094*** | .004 | ||||
| Trade | −.027*** | .003 | −.026*** | .003 | ||||
| FIRE | −.113*** | .004 | −.112*** | .004 | ||||
| Services | −.054*** | .003 | −.054*** | .003 | ||||
| Other | .059*** | .004 | .059*** | .004 | ||||
| R-squared | .021 | .022 | .092 | .093 | ||||
| n (unweighted) | 448,008 | 448,008 | 448,008 | 448,008 | ||||
Source: March Current Population Surveys.
Notes: F.E.=fixed effects. Ref.=reference group. B=unstandardized coefficient. S.E.=robust standard error.
p<.05
p<.01
p<.001.