Table A.2.

Estimated cumulative mortality at 21 and 42 days after 1st case, using median of county black population shares to define above and below.

	At 21 days		At 42 days
	Regression		Regression
	Unadjusted	Adjusted	Unadjusted	Adjusted
Above Average	0.020**	0.017**	0.084**	0.065**
% Black	(0.005)	(0.002)	(0.016)	(0.007)
Below Average	0.015**	0.019**	0.040**	0.062**
% Black	(0.002)	(0.003)	(0.005)	(0.009)
Relative Rate	1.352	0.927	2.099*	1.054
	(0.378)	(0.149)	(0.450)	(0.156)
$N$	2710	2710	2710	2710

Estimates are predicted rates after Poisson regression reported with robust standard errors clustered at the state level. Regression adjusted estimates include all covariates listed in Table 1 and the natural log of time elapsed since first case (in days). Statistical significance of predicted rates is with respect to a null hypothesis of 0. Statistical significance of relative rates is with respect to a null hypothesis of 1.0.

^*$p<0.05$.

^**$p<0.01$.