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. 2021 Dec 15;375:e068848. doi: 10.1136/bmj-2021-068848

Table 3.

Vaccine effectiveness of two doses of mRNA-1273 against admission to hospital with covid-19 due to delta, non-delta, or unidentified variants

Variant No No (%) test positive No (%) test negative Odds ratio (95% CI) Vaccine effectiveness (95% CI)
Vaccinated Unvaccinated Vaccinated Unvaccinated Unadjusted Adjusted* Unadjusted (%) Adjusted* (%)
Delta 846 5 (4) 136 (96) 365 (51.8) 340 (48.2) 0.03 (0.01 to 0.07) 0.03 (0.01 to 0.07) 97.4 (92.8 to 99.0) 97.5 (92.7 to 99.2)
Non-delta 1038 0 (0) 173 (100) 306 (35.4) 559 (64.6) NE NE NE NE
Unidentified 588 7 (7) 91 (93) 227 (46.3) 263 (53.7) 0.05 (0.02 to 0.13) 0.03 (0.01 to 0.11) 94.8 (86.8 to 98.0) 96.6 (89.5 to 98.9)

This subgroup analysis included test positive cases admitted to hospital and their matched test negative controls.

NE=not estimable.

*

Model for delta variant adjusted for smoking, Charlson comorbidity score, frailty index, liver disease, pregnancy, history of SARS-CoV-2 infection, number of outpatient and virtual visits, preventive care, medical center area, month of specimen collection, and specimen type; model for unidentified variants adjusted for body mass index, smoking, Charlson comorbidity score, frailty index, pregnancy, history of SARS-CoV-2 infection, number of outpatient and virtual visits, number of emergency department visits, preventive care, medical center area, month of specimen collection, and specimen type.

Non-delta variants included alpha, epsilon, gamma, iota, mu, and other (beta, eta, kappa, and other variants).

Unidentified variants were those for which whole genome sequencing failed.