Table 3.
C-statistics for ML4HEN-COX and comparator models in holdout cohort
Model | Entire holdout (n = 34,655) | Men (n = 17,606) | Women (n = 17,049) | Age < 55 (n = 15,134) | Age ≥ 55 (n = 19,521) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
ML4HEN-COX | 0.796 (0.784, 0.809) ref |
0.751 (0.735, 0.767) ref |
0.780 (0.747, 0.811) ref |
0.825 (0.799, 0.850) ref |
0.755 (0.737, 0.771) ref |
FRS | 0.756 (0.742, 0.769) p < 0.001 |
0.690 (0.670, 0.709) p < 0.001 |
0.758 (0.728, 0.790) p = 0.07 |
0.766 (0.736, 0.794) p < 0.001 |
0.712 (0.695, 0.730) p < 0.001 |
PCE | 0.754 (0.739, 0.768) p < 0.001 |
0.689 (0.671, 0.707) p < 0.001 |
0.749 (0.719, 0.781) p = 0.01 |
0.770 (0.740, 0.796) p < 0.001 |
0.707 (0.688, 0.725) p < 0.001 |
QRISK3 | 0.761 (0.747, 0.774) p < 0.001 |
0.695 (0.676, 0.714) p < 0.001 |
0.763 (0.734, 0.793) p = 0.13 |
0.790 (0.763, 0.816) p = 0.001 |
0.709 (0.691, 0.727) p < 0.001 |
Bootstrapped 95% confidence intervals indicated in parentheses. p values listed below each C-statistic correspond to DeLong's test comparing each C-statistic with reference (ML4HEN-COX). C-statistics in the development cohort are displayed in Table S7.