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. 2021 Oct 27;27(12):2111–2119. doi: 10.1038/s41591-021-01571-8

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© The Author(s) 2021

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

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Fig. 1 — a–n, The horizontal axis indicates dates in 2020, and the vertical turquoise line corresponds to the survey date. In a, c, e, g, i, k and m, the vertical axis represents the average number of confirmed cases per 100,000 residents, the black and red lines correspond to the average outcomes of the matched treated and control municipalities, respectively, and the dashed black line represents the average outcomes of all treated municipalities, both matched and unmatched. In b, d, f, h, j, l and n, the vertical axis represents ATC values, the thick black line indicates the point estimates of ATC values, and the shaded gray area presents the 95% confidence intervals. Cluster-robust standard errors were utilized where clusters were a pair of matched municipalities and a municipality. a, Outcome, 4 March. b, ATC, 4 March. c, Outcome, 16 March. d, ATC, 16 March. e, Outcome, 6 April. f, ATC, 6 April. g, Outcome, 10 April. h, ATC, 10 April. i, Outcome, 16 April. j, ATC, 16 April. k, Outcome, 22 April. l, ATC, 22 April. m, Outcome, 11 May. n, ATC, 11 May.

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