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. 2021 Jan 18;9:13266–13285. doi: 10.1109/ACCESS.2021.3051929

TABLE 10. Russia: Numerical Validation of the Forecast Results.

Investigated States Deaths Infected
Metrics NRMSE SMAPE NRMSE SMAPE
Weighted SEIRD (Exp.) 0.115 1.0825 0.401 1.68
Unnweighted SEIRD 0.161 1.0824 0.400 1.64
Proposed model 0.032 1.0419 0.036 1.05