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. 2021 Dec 16;6(12):e006434. doi: 10.1136/bmjgh-2021-006434

Table 3.

Assessment of evidence for the risk of studied outcomes based on Grades of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluation framework

Risk Quality of study limitations: ↓ Indirectness of evidence: ↓ Inconsistency: ↓ Imprecision, range CI effect size >2.0: ↓ Publication bias, yes or unclear: ↓ Effect estimate
>2.0: ↑
>5.0: ↑↑
Dose–response effect: ↑ Residual confounding: ↑ Overall certainty (high, moderate, low)
In-hospital mortality No (−)* No (−) No (−)† No (−) Unclear ↓ Yes ↑↑‡ Yes ↑ No (−) High
Case mortality No (−)* No (−) No (−)§ No (−) Unclear ↓ Yes ↑↑¶ Yes ↑ No (−) High
Hospitalisation No (−)* No (−) Yes ↓** No (−) Unclear ↓ Yes ↑↑†† Yes ↑ No (−) High

*High-quality studies also reported a significant association between age and risk of outcome.

†Moderate heterogeneity (I2=64.1%) was observed on studies using age as a continuous variable and on high-quality studies (I2=58.7%).

‡Although per age RR is 1.057, when comparing different adult groups can have an effect size of greater than 5.0 (ie, a 54-year difference, 18 years vs 72 years results in a RR of 20.0).

§Moderate heterogeneity (I2=68.7%) was observed on studies using age as a continuous variable and on high-quality studies heterogeneity was very low (I2=0%).

¶Although per age RR is 1.074, when comparing different adult groups can have an effect size of greater than 5.0 (ie, a 54-year difference, 18 years vs 72 years results in a RR of 47.2).

**High heterogeneity observed (I2 >85%).

††Although per age RR is 1.034, when comparing different adult groups can have an effect size of greater than 5.0 (ie, a 54-year difference, 18 years vs 72 years results in a RR of 6.08).