Table 3.
HCC development as a function of scoring system in the training and validation sets.
Cumulative incidence (% [95% CI]) |
|||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Score value | No HCC | HCC | Total | sHR | [95% CI] | p value | 1 year | 2 years | 3 years | 4 years | 5 years |
Training set (n = 1,658) | |||||||||||
0-5 | 608 (39.8%) | 14 (10.7%) | 622 (37.5%) | Ref. | 0.3 [0–1.2] | 1.1 [0.5–2.3] | 1.1 [0.5–2.3] | 2.1 [1.0–3.8] | 3.7 [2.0–6.1] | ||
6-8 | 452 (29.6%) | 30 (22.9%) | 482 (29.1%) | 3.38 | [1.79; 6.39] | <0.001 | 0.9 [0.3–2.1] | 1.6 [0.7–3.2] | 5.4 [3.3–8.1] | 7.7 [5.0–11.1] | 8.3 [5.4–12.0] |
9-16 | 467 (30.6%) | 87 (66.4%) | 554 (33.4%) | 9.35 | [5.30; 16.49] | <0.001 | 4.6 [3.0–6.7] | 9.7 [7.3–12.5] | 13.1 [10.2–16.4] | 18.8 [14.8–23.3] | 21.9 [17.2–27.0] |
Validation set (n = 855) | |||||||||||
0-5 | 285 (36.5%) | 11 (14.7%) | 296 (34.6%) | Ref | 0 | 1.6 [0.5–3.7] | 2.0 [0.8–4.4] | 2.6 [1.1–5.3] | 3.5 [1.5–6.9] | ||
6-8 | 222 (28.5%) | 16 (21.3%) | 238 (27.8%) | 2.16 | [1.01; 4.60] | 0.046 | 1.8 [0.6–4.2] | 4.7 [2.4–8.2] | 5.9 [3.2–9.8] | 7.7 [4.3–12.5] | 9.6 [5.1–15.8] |
9-16 | 273 (35.0%) | 48 (64.0%) | 321 (37.5%) | 5.32 | [2.82; 10.03] | <0.001 | 5.9 [3.7–9.0] | 10.9 [7.6–14.9] | 15.3 [11.2–20.0] | 16.7 [12.2–21.7] | 21.6 [15.5–28.5] |
HCC, hepatocellular carcinoma.