Geographic patterns in EU support change–model comparisons. The predicted changes in EU support (along with 95% CIs) for respondents located at the 5th, 50th, and 95th percentile of longitude (corresponding to the west, center, and east of Ukraine) based on the raw data from the 2015 survey as well as predicted attitudes from three types of models (spatial AVM, baseline AVM, and spatial regression) are shown. For regression results, see SI Appendix, Table S2.