Appendix 1—table 8. Statistical comparison of the proportion of transitions from exploitation to exploration and from exploration to exploitation led by the experienced and by the naïve bird over generations.

Column one reports the generation number. Columns 2 and 4 report the estimated probabilities that transitions are led by the experienced bird,, and by the naïve bird,, for transitions, respectively, from exploitation to exploration and from exploration to exploitation. Columns 3 and 5 give the results of exact binomial tests (-value and sample size) of the null hypothesis that the probability that transitions are led by the experienced bird equals 0.5. Significant -values are reported in bold.

	Exploitation → Exploration		Exploration → Exploitation
Generation	$P_E$versus$P_N$	$H_1:P_E\ne 0.5$	$P_E$versus$P_N$	$H_1:P_E\ne 0.5$
All	$P_E=0.467,P_N=0.533$	${\displaystyle \mathit{p}\mathbf{=}\mathbf{.042}\left(n=964\right)}$	$P_E=0.513,P_N=0.487$	$p=.42\left(n=966\right)$
2	$P_E=0.494,P_N=0.506$	$p=.9\left(n=247\right)$	$P_E=0.52,P_N=0.48$	$p=.56\left(n=244\right)$
3	$P_E=0.432,P_N=0.568$	${\displaystyle \mathit{p}\mathbf{=}\mathbf{.02}\left(n=301\right)}$	$P_E=0.483,P_N=0.517$	$p=.6\left(n=300\right)$
4	$P_E=0.5,P_N=0.5$	$p=1\left(n=216\right)$	$P_E=0.539,P_N=0.461$	$p=.28\left(n=219\right)$
5	$P_E=0.45,P_N=0.55$	$p=.18\left(n=200\right)$	$P_E=0.522,P_N=0.478$	$p=.57\left(n=203\right)$