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. 2022 Jan 1;399(10319):25–35. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(21)02754-9

Table 2.

Vaccine effectiveness estimates for ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 against COVID-19 hospital admissions or death by length of time since two-dose vaccination in Scotland and Brazil

Scotland
Brazil
Person-years Number of events Vaccine effectiveness* (95% CI) Person-years Number of events Vaccine effectiveness* (95% CI)
Unvaccinated 336 942 2245 0% (ref) .. .. ..
0–2 weeks after first dose 6860 39 −15·4% (−60·6 to 17·0) 1 849 099 21 736 0% (ref)
Partially vaccinated 94 761 420 49·3% (43·3 to 54·6) 11 701 310 37 802 57·9% (56·9 to 58·9)
0–1 week after second dose 47 252 78 77·7% (71·9 to 82·3) 1 601 585 2688 73·2% (71·9 to 74·5)
2–3 weeks after second dose 55 318 85 83·7% (79·7 to 87·0) 1 492 259 1095 86·4% (85·4 to 87·3)
4–5 weeks after second dose 65 698 106 86·6% (83·6 to 89·0) 1 338 063 1019 83·5% (82·3 to 84·7)
6–7 weeks after second dose 71 120 134 86·8% (84·2 to 88·9) 1 117 983 1019 77·9% (76·1 to 79·5)
8–9 weeks after second dose 73 540 245 79·0% (75·9 to 81·7) 862 976 863 75·6% (73·4 to 77·6)
10–11 weeks after second dose 73 212 280 79·6% (76·8 to 82·1) 651 213 751 69·3% (66·3 to 72·1)
12–13 weeks after second dose 71 773 337 77·4% (74·6 to 80·0) 445 924 646 60·8% (56·6 to 64·6)
14–15 weeks after second dose 68 114 356 75·9% (72·9 to 78·6) 264 128 472 59·7% (54·6 to 64·2)
16–17 weeks after second dose 63 974 402 70·5% (67·0 to 73·7) 169 692 397 50·5% (43·4 to 56·6)
18–19 weeks after second dose 58 608 508 63·7% (59·6 to 67·4) 132 459 275 42·2% (32·4 to 50·6)
20–21 weeks after second dose 45 716 598 53·6% (48·4 to 58·3) .. .. ..

Scotland reference group: unvaccinated, Brazil reference group: 0–13 days after first dose vaccination.

*

In Scotland, vaccine effectiveness was adjusted for age, sex, deprivation, comorbidities, number of previous tests, interval between doses, and temporal trend; individuals positive for SARS-CoV-2 before Dec 8, 2020, were excluded from the analysis. In Brazil, vaccine effectiveness was adjusted for age, sex, deprivation, macroregion of residence, primary reason for vaccination, interval between doses, and temporal trend.

Partially vaccinated: ≥2 weeks after the first dose and before the second dose.