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. 2022 Jan 1;399(10319):25–35. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(21)02754-9

Table 3.

Vaccine effectiveness estimates for ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 against confirmed SARS-CoV-2 symptomatic infection by length of time since two-dose vaccination in Scotland and Brazil using a test-negative design case-control study

Scotland
Brazil
Total samples Positive samples Vaccine effectiveness* (95% CI) Total samples Positive samples Vaccine effectiveness* (95% CI)
Unvaccinated 26 130 13 698 0% (ref) 9 852 053 4 920 001 0% (ref)
0–1 week after first dose 911 374 20·9% (8·2 to 31·9) 286 322 151 328 −9·6% (−10·5 to −8·8)
Partially vaccinated 15 714 7176 37·6% (34·6 to 40·5) 1 143 423 398 717 37·6% (37·3 to 37·9)
0–1 week after second dose 5027 2025 50·2% (46·7 to 53·5) 112 391 30 550 51·3% (50·6 to 52·0)
2–3 weeks after second dose 7141 2429 67·9% (65·9 to 69·8) 95 671 7963 69·8% (69·3 to 70·4)
4–5 weeks after second dose 8947 3387 67·3% (65·3 to 69·1) 79 298 15 568 68·4% (67·8 to 68·9)
6–7 weeks after second dose 10 622 4346 63·8% (61·7 to 65·7) 60 301 12 401 66·8% (66·1 to 67·5)
8–9 weeks after second dose 11 258 4633 63·3% (61·3 to 65·3) 44 351 9424 65·4% (64·6 to 66·2)
10–11 weeks after second dose 14 043 6319 59·3% (57·2 to 61·4) 32 832 7103 63·2% (62·2 to 64·2)
12–13 weeks after second dose 17 300 7966 55·3% (53·0 to 57·5) 22 454 5177 58·8% (57·4 to 60·1)
14–15 weeks after second dose 17 421 7670 52·9% (50·4 to 55·2) 15 305 3435 59·8% (58·2 to 61·4)
16–17 weeks after second dose 15 442 6554 48·7% (45·9 to 51·4) 10 822 2529 58·7% (56·7 to 60·5)
18–19 weeks after second dose 14 403 6248 44·6% (41·5 to 47·6) 7458 1852 57·7% (55·4 to 60·0)
20–21 weeks after second dose 10 596 4718 39·1% (35·4 to 42·6) .. .. ..
*

In Scotland, vaccine effectiveness was adjusted for age, sex, deprivation, comorbidities, number of at-risk groups, smoking status, blood pressure, body-mass index, health board, interval between doses, and temporal trend. In Brazil, vaccine effectiveness was adjusted for age, sex, deprivation, macroregion of residence, diabetes, obesity, immunosuppression, cardiac disease, pregnancy, puerperal period, chronic kidney disease, and temporal trend. Descriptive characteristics for the sample are available in appendix 2 (pp 11–15).

Partially vaccinated: ≥2 weeks after the first dose and before the second dose.