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. 2021 Dec 21;2021(12):CD013139. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD013139.pub2

Douville 2020.

Study characteristics
General information Objective 
  • Added biomarkers, prediction model compared


Journal
  • Circulation: Genomic and Precision Medicine


Country
  • USA


Study design
  • Prospective cohort study

Participants Number of included patients
  • 89,624


Surgical specialty
  • Noncardiac surgery


Age
  • Median 55 years (IQR = 42 to 65)


Male sex
  • 45%


High‐risk surgery
  • Not reported


Insulin‐dependent diabetes mellitus
  • Not reported


History of ischaemic heart disease
  • Not reported


History of congestive heart failure
  • Not reported


History of cerebrovascular events
  • Not reported


Elevated creatinine
  • Not reported


0 RCRI factors
  • Not reported


1 RCRI factor
  • Not reported


2 RCRI factors
  • Not reported


3 or more RCRI factors
  • Not reported

Predictors Predictor 1:
Polygenic risk score (CAD)   
  • Objective: added biomarker

  • Category: blood

  • Scale: continuous

  • Threshold: not applicable

  • Assay/device: Illumina Infinium CoreExome‐24


 
Predictor 2:
Preoperative model (age, admission type, composite RCRI, arrhythmia, fluid/electrolyte disorder, hypertension)
  • Objective: prediction model compared

  • Category: prediction model 

  • Scale: not applicable

  • Threshold: not applicable

  • Assay/device: not applicable


 
Predictor 3:
Preoperative model + Polygenic Risk Score (CAD)
  • Objective: prediction model compared

  • Category: prediction model 

  • Scale: not applicable

  • Threshold: not applicable

  • Assay/device: not applicable

Outcome Outcome category
  • Troponin elevation


Full outcome definition
  • Myocardial injury after noncardiac surgery (MINS)


Prediction horizon
  • 30‐day events

Analysis Number of outcomes
  • 429      


Handling missing data
  • No information on handling missing data


Discrimination reported?
  • Yes


Calibration reported?
  • No


Reclassification reported?
  • Yes

PROBAST: Applicability Domain 1: Participant selection
  • Low


Justification: However, patients might be healthier compared to the patients included in the development study
Domain 2: Predictors
  • Low


Justification: 
Domain 3: Outcome
  • High


Justification: troponin elevation is not similar to the outcome MACE in the development study
Overall judgement
  • High


Justification: patient selection was appropriate and predictor definitions were clearly defined and comparable to definitions used in the development study. However, the outcome used was different from MACE in the development study. 
Notes
 
Item Authors' judgement Support for judgement
Domain 1: Participant selection Yes Appropriate participant selection in which patients were selected in whom the RCRI model can be applied.
Domain 2: Predictors Yes Clear (RCRI) predictor definitions were described.
Domain 3: Outcome No Troponins are not routinely drawn on all patients, but rather drawn when a clinical suspicion of MINS exists.
Domain 4:  Analysis Yes Clear methodology and appropriate number of outcomes. 
Overall judgement No Appropriate patient selection, clearly defined predictors and proper methodology. However, outcomes could have been missed due to inappropriate outcome assessment.