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. 2021 Dec 21;2021(12):CD013139. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD013139.pub2

Sheth 2015.

Study characteristics
General information Objective 
  • Added biomarkers, biomarkers compared


Journal
  • BMJ


Country
  • Canada, USA, China, South Africa, Malaysia, India, Poland


Study design
  • Prospective cohort study

Participants Number of included patients
  • 955


Surgical specialty
  • Noncardiac surgery


Age
  • Mean 69.7 years (SD 8.5 years)


Male sex
  • 61%


High‐risk surgery
  • Not reported  


Insulin‐dependent diabetes mellitus
  • Not reported


History of ischaemic heart disease
  • 32%


History of congestive heart failure
  • 4%


History of cerebrovascular events
  • Not reported


Elevated creatinine
  • Not reported


0 RCRI factors
  • 34%


1 RCRI factor
  • 43%


2 RCRI factors
  • 19%


3 or more RCRI factors
  • 6%

Predictors Predictor 1:
Coronary CT angiography
  • Objective: added biomarker, biomarker compared

  • Category: imaging

  • Scale: categorical; dichotomous

  • Threshold: normal ‐ no evidence of coronary atherosclerosis; non‐obstructive coronary artery disease ‐ evidence of at least one coronary artery plaque with a < 50% stenosis; obstructive coronary artery disease ‐ at least one coronary artery plaque with a ≥ 50% stenosis; or extensive obstructive disease —≥ 50% stenosis in two coronary arteries including the proximal left anterior descending artery, ≥ 50% stenosis in three coronary arteries, or ≥ 50% stenosis in the left main coronary

  • Assay/device: the protocol used for coronary CT angiography is reported in Appendix 1 of the original research paper.

Outcome Outcome category
  • MACE


Full outcome definition
  • Cardiac death or nonfatal myocardial infarction


Prediction horizon
  • 30‐day events

Analysis Number of outcomes
  • 74


Handling missing data
  • No information on handling missing data


Discrimination reported?
  • Yes


Calibration reported?
  • No


Reclassification reported?
  • Yes

PROBAST: Applicability Domain 1: Participant selection
  • High


Justification: many exclusion criteria including persistent atrium fibrillation, patients with previous stent implantation. However, they could not have done it differently as these exclusions were due to CTA measurements.
Domain 2: Predictors
  • Unclear


Justification: no information for each of the RCRI predictor definitions
Domain 3: Outcome
  • High


Justification: outcome MACE differs from the definition of MACE in the development study
Overall judgement
  • High


Justification: only a selected group of patients was included, there was no/unclear information on predictor definitions and outcome definition was different compared to the development study
Notes
 
Item Authors' judgement Support for judgement
Domain 1: Participant selection Yes Appropriate participant selection in which patients were selected in whom the RCRI model can be applied.
Domain 2: Predictors Unclear No information for each of the RCRI predictor definitions.
Domain 3: Outcome Yes Clearly defined outcome definitions and appropriate adjudication of outcomes.
Domain 4:  Analysis No Low number of outcomes; no information on handling missing outcome; no reporting on calibration measures.
Overall judgement No Patient selection was appropriate. Outcome was clearly defined and assessed. However, predictor definitions were unclear/not reported. Furthermore, the number of outcomes was low, no information on the handling of missing data and inappropriate reporting of performance measures.