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. 2021 Dec 21;2021(12):CD013139. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD013139.pub2

Wilcox 2019.

Study characteristics
General information Objective 
  • Prediction model compared


Journal
  • Stroke


Country
  • USA


Study design
  • Prospective existing registry

Participants Number of included patients
  • 54,717


Surgical specialty
  • Noncardiac surgery


Age
  • Not reported


Male sex
  • Not reported 


High‐risk surgery
  • Not reported


Insulin‐dependent diabetes mellitus
  • Not reported


History of ischaemic heart disease
  • Not reported 


History of congestive heart failure
  • Not reported


History of cerebrovascular events
  • Not reported


Elevated creatinine
  • Not reported


0 RCRI factors
  • Not reported


1 RCRI factor
  • Not reported


2 RCRI factors
  • Not reported


3 or more RCRI factors
  • Not reported

Predictors Predictor 1:
ACS‐NSQIP surgical risk score
  • Objective: prediction model compared 

  • Category: prediction model

  • Scale: not applicable

  • Threshold: not applicable

  • Assay/device: not applicable   


 
Predictor 2:
ACS‐NSQIP MICA
  • Objective: prediction model compared 

  • Category: prediction model

  • Scale: not applicable

  • Threshold: not applicable

  • Assay/device: not applicable   


 
Predictor 3:
MASHOUR 
  • Objective: prediction model compared 

  • Category: prediction model

  • Scale: not applicable

  • Threshold: not applicable

  • Assay/device: not applicable   


 
Predictor 4:
CHADS2‐VASC
  • Objective: prediction model compared 

  • Category: prediction model

  • Scale: not applicable

  • Threshold: not applicable

  • Assay/device: not applicable   


 
Predictor 5:
CHADS2
  • Objective: prediction model compared 

  • Category: prediction model

  • Scale: not applicable

  • Threshold: not applicable

  • Assay/device: not applicable

Outcome Outcome category
  • Stroke


Full outcome definition
  • Not applicable


Prediction horizon
  • 30‐day events

Analysis Number of outcomes
  • 1474


Handling missing data
  • Missing data on outcome timing was imputed by median imputation


Discrimination reported?
  • Yes


Calibration reported?
  • No


Reclassification reported?
  • No

PROBAST: Applicability Domain 1: Participant selection
  • Low


Justification: patient selection was appropriate and generalisable to the population used in the RCRI development study
Domain 2: Predictors
  • High


Justification: different definition for ischaemic heart disease and unclear definition for high‐risk surgery and congestive heart failure
Domain 3: Outcome
  • High


Justification: outcome is stroke and not MACE
Overall judgement
  • High


Justification: patients selected were generalisable to the patient population used in the RCRI development study. However, no/unclear information on predictor definitions for some items and other predictors of the original RCRI were not included or had a different definition. In addition, outcome definition was different compared to the development study.
Notes
 
Item Authors' judgement Support for judgement
Domain 1: Participant selection Yes Appropriate participant selection in which patients were selected in whom the RCRI model can be applied.
Domain 2: Predictors No Different definition for ischaemic heart disease and unclear definition for high‐risk surgery and congestive heart failure.
Domain 3: Outcome Yes Clearly defined outcome definitions and appropriate adjudication of outcomes.
Domain 4:  Analysis Yes However, method of handling missing data was not appropriate and no reporting of calibration measures.
Overall judgement No Patient selection was appropriate. Outcome definitions were clearly defined and comparable to the definitions used in the development study. However, no/unclear information on predictor definitions for some items and other predictors of the original RCRI were not included or had a different definition. In addition, method of handling missing data was not appropriate and no reporting of calibration measures.