Table 5.
Results of the applied algoriths obtained with the 1-month and 2-month time-lag patterns in Karkheh reservoir.
| Algorithms | Phase | Projections | 1-month time-lag pattern | 2-month time-lag pattern | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | NSE | RMSE (m3/s) | MAE (m3/s) | R | NSE | RMSE (m3/s) | MAE (m3/s) | |||
| SVM | Train | January | 0.98 | 0.97 | 36.88 | 36.7 | 0.66 | 0.39 | 172.9 | 108.71 |
| February | 0.94 | 0.89 | 108.88 | 107.87 | 0.95 | 0.89 | 109.75 | 109.32 | ||
| March | 0.98 | 0.94 | 117.48 | 109.55 | 0.97 | 0.94 | 118.88 | 112.91 | ||
| April | 0.97 | 0.9 | 237.75 | 225.75 | 0.96 | 0.9 | 234.55 | 220.96 | ||
| Test | January | 0.99 | 0.98 | 35.5 | 33 | 0.45 | 0.11 | 246.25 | 155.83 | |
| February | 0.97 | 0.92 | 110.44 | 110.3 | 0.97 | 0.93 | 128.51 | 119.52 | ||
| March | 0.94 | 0.87 | 124.48 | 118.46 | 0.92 | 0.85 | 131.63 | 131.5 | ||
| April | 0.99 | 0.96 | 247.57 | 235.46 | 0.98 | 0.96 | 241.08 | 233.11 | ||
| ANN | Train | January | 0.81 | 0.94 | 142.74 | 89.62 | 0.61 | 0.89 | 185.02 | 115.48 |
| February | 0.84 | 0.84 | 213.89 | 205.7 | 0.73 | 0.83 | 267.32 | 192.73 | ||
| March | 0.86 | 0.87 | 254.17 | 236.72 | 0.73 | 0.78 | 268.1 | 316.71 | ||
| April | 0.89 | 0.89 | 331.79 | 351.23 | 0.92 | 0.87 | 384.32 | 385.78 | ||
| Test | January | 0.9 | 0.67 | 120.21 | 101.82 | 0.83 | 0.1 | 127.03 | 207.09 | |
| February | 0.85 | 0.97 | 400.93 | 159.73 | 0.84 | 0.88 | 497.2 | 119.36 | ||
| March | 0.85 | 0.75 | 530.11 | 115.76 | 0.82 | 0.66 | 241.06 | 120.79 | ||
| April | 0.92 | 0.73 | 482.03 | 407.53 | 0.84 | 0.99 | 440.59 | 153.66 | ||
| RT | Train | January | 0.88 | 0.75 | 110.85 | 25.2 | 0.84 | 0.7 | 119.96 | 78.27 |
| February | 0.92 | 0.84 | 131.46 | 31.86 | 0.9 | 0.82 | 139.97 | 53.55 | ||
| March | 0.9 | 0.8 | 208.83 | 157.53 | 0.96 | 0.92 | 135.23 | 34 | ||
| April | 0.88 | 0.78 | 359.25 | 245.1 | 0.94 | 0.88 | 261.51 | 69 | ||
| Test | January | 0.97 | 0.96 | 52.82 | 16.98 | 0.87 | 0.84 | 105.09 | 83.34 | |
| February | 0.92 | 0.79 | 232.26 | 74.25 | 0.96 | 0.93 | 133.07 | 43.66 | ||
| March | 0.89 | 0.79 | 157.8 | 137.77 | 0.9 | 0.79 | 156.5 | 47.58 | ||
| April | 0.95 | 0.77 | 562.09 | 337.45 | 0.99 | 0.98 | 182 | 66 | ||
| GP | Train | January | 0.88 | 0.74 | 111.39 | 86.5 | 0.92 | 0.96 | 103.76 | 82.99 |
| February | 0.89 | 0.8 | 146.99 | 109.91 | 0.89 | 0.96 | 144.02 | 103.5 | ||
| March | 0.91 | 0.82 | 199.54 | 168.72 | 0.88 | 0.93 | 329.02 | 249.39 | ||
| April | 0.91 | 0.82 | 318.21 | 257.65 | 0.9 | 0.81 | 336 | 246.47 | ||
| Test | January | 0.92 | 0.83 | 114.86 | 74.92 | 0.87 | 0.63 | 485.13 | 380.42 | |
| February | 0.83 | 0.56 | 488.5 | 327.75 | 0.89 | 0.82 | 418.2 | 264.39 | ||
| March | 0.92 | 0.62 | 308.95 | 231.78 | 0.88 | 0.86 | 239.58 | 217.05 | ||
| April | 0.84 | 0.86 | 290.73 | 239.18 | 0.91 | 0.73 | 1312.2 | 667.64 | ||