Table 5.

Age–Period–Cohort (APC) Model Analysis Results of Colorectal Cancer Incidence and Mortality in China

Variables					95% CI
	Effect Coefficient	SE	Z	P	LL	UL
Age (incidence)
Age_20	−2.49	0.85	−2.92	0.00*	−4.15	−0.82
Age_25	−1.75	0.50	−3.50	0.00*	−2.73	−0.77
Age_30	−1.17	0.38	−3.09	0.00*	−1.91	−0.43
Age_35	−0.80	0.34	−2.34	0.02*	−1.47	−0.13
Age_40	−0.37	0.31	−1.22	0.22	−0.97	0.23
Age_45	−0.04	0.27	−0.14	0.89	−0.57	0.49
Age_50	0.34	0.23	1.49	0.14	−0.11	0.78
Age_55	0.60	0.18	3.30	0.00*	0.24	0.96
Age_60	0.85	0.14	6.19	0.00*	0.58	1.12
Age_65	1.01	0.10	10.28	0.00*	0.82	1.21
Age_70	1.12	0.08	13.92	0.00*	0.96	1.28
Age_75	1.09	0.10	11.10	0.00*	0.89	1.28
Age_80	0.98	0.14	7.02	0.00*	0.70	1.25
Age_85	0.63	0.19	3.30	0.00*	0.26	1.01
Period
Period_2005	−0.15	0.06	−2.63	0.01*	−0.27	−0.04
Period_2010	0.02	0.03	0.65	0.51	−0.04	0.07
Period_2015	0.14	0.06	2.36	0.02*	0.02	0.25
Cohort
Cohort_1920	1.34	0.24	5.61	0.00*	0.87	1.80
Cohort_1925	1.25	0.18	6.94	0.00*	0.90	1.61
Cohort_1930	1.07	0.14	7.89	0.00*	0.80	1.33
Cohort_1935	0.88	0.11	8.22	0.00*	0.67	1.09
Cohort_1940	0.63	0.11	5.91	0.00*	0.42	0.83
Cohort_1945	0.37	0.13	2.80	0.01*	0.11	0.63
Cohort_1950	0.26	0.17	1.54	0.12	−0.07	0.60
Cohort_1955	0.14	0.22	0.64	0.52	−0.28	0.56
Cohort_1960	−0.06	0.26	−0.22	0.83	−0.57	0.45
Cohort_1965	−0.28	0.30	−0.92	0.36	−0.87	0.31
Cohort_1970	−0.47	0.34	−1.39	0.16	−1.14	0.19
Cohort_1975	−0.63	0.37	−1.71	0.09	−1.34	0.09
Cohort_1980	−0.92	0.40	−2.28	0.02*	−1.71	−0.13
Cohort_1985	−1.08	0.47	−2.32	0.02*	−1.99	−0.17
Cohort_1990	−1.12	0.69	−1.63	0.10	−2.47	0.23
Cohort_1995	−1.37	1.48	−0.93	0.35	−4.27	1.52
Age (mortality)
Age_20	−2.72	1.52	−1.79	0.07	−5.70	0.26
Age_25	−1.97	0.89	−2.20	0.03*	−3.72	−0.22
Age_30	−1.41	0.69	−2.05	0.04*	−2.76	−0.06
Age_35	−0.83	0.60	−1.37	0.17	−2.01	0.36
Age_40	−0.49	0.55	−0.89	0.37	−1.57	0.59
Age_45	−0.14	0.48	−0.29	0.78	−1.08	0.80
Age_50	0.15	0.40	0.38	0.70	−0.64	0.94
Age_55	0.38	0.32	1.18	0.24	−0.25	1.01
Age_60	0.71	0.24	3.00	0.00*	0.25	1.17
Age_65	0.94	0.16	5.73	0.00*	0.62	1.26
Age_70	1.17	0.13	9.20	0.00*	0.92	1.42
Age_75	1.37	0.16	8.51	0.00*	1.05	1.69
Age_80	1.44	0.24	6.09	0.00*	0.98	1.91
Age_85	1.38	0.33	4.21	0.00*	0.74	2.02
Period
Period_2005	−0.21	0.10	−2.02	0.04*	−0.41	−0.01
Period_2010	0.04	0.04	1.01	0.31	−0.03	0.10
Period_2015	0.17	0.10	1.69	0.09	−0.03	0.37
Cohort
Cohort_1920	1.60	0.40	3.99	0.00*	0.81	2.38
Cohort_1925	1.46	0.31	4.78	0.00*	0.86	2.06
Cohort_1930	1.23	0.22	5.47	0.00*	0.79	1.66
Cohort_1935	0.99	0.17	5.92	0.00*	0.66	1.32
Cohort_1940	0.67	0.16	4.13	0.00*	0.35	0.99
Cohort_1945	0.40	0.21	1.90	0.06	−0.01	0.82
Cohort_1950	0.25	0.29	0.86	0.39	−0.32	0.81
Cohort_1955	0.08	0.37	0.20	0.84	−0.65	0.80
Cohort_1960	−0.10	0.45	−0.21	0.83	−0.99	0.79
Cohort_1965	−0.43	0.53	−0.81	0.42	−1.48	0.62
Cohort_1970	−0.65	0.60	−1.09	0.28	−1.83	0.52
Cohort_1975	−0.87	0.66	−1.33	0.19	−2.15	0.42
Cohort_1980	−1.06	0.71	−1.50	0.14	−2.46	0.33
Cohort_1985	−1.09	0.81	−1.34	0.18	−2.68	0.51
Cohort_1990	−1.25	1.23	−1.01	0.31	−3.65	1.16
Cohort_1995	−1.23	2.43	−0.51	0.61	−5.99	3.52

Notes: *Means P<0.05, and the difference is statistically significant. Incidence: variance=1.15; AIC=6.49; BIC=−43.74. Mortality: variance=1.05; AIC=5.68; BIC=−43.80.

Abbreviations: SE, standard error; LL, lower limit; UL, upper limit. AIC, Akaike Information Criterion; BIC, Bayesian Information Criterion.