Table I.1.
Kernel | Function | Outbreak duration | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 days | 30 days | 60 days | 90 days | |||
Fat‐tailed |
|
AIC = 3,240 d0 = 6.37 | AIC = 3,214 d0 = 5.67 | AIC = 3,222 d0 = 5.02 | AIC = 3,287 d0 = 4.45 | |
Gaussian |
|
AIC = 3,258 d0 = 18.5 | AIC = 3,237 d0 = 17.5 | AIC = 3,248 d0 = 10.8 | AIC = 3,313 d0 = 10.1 | |
Exponential |
|
AIC = 3,243 d0 = 10.3 | AIC = 3,220 d0 = 10.1 | AIC = 3,230 d0 = 10.8 | AIC = 3,295 d0 = 11.4 | |
Alternative fat‐tailed |
|
AIC = 3,229 d0 = 1.03 α = 1.20 | AIC = 3,208 d0 = 2.23 α = 1.47 | AIC = 3,217 d0 = 2.27 α = 1.60 | AIC = 3,280 d0 = 1.90 α = 1.60 |