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. 2021 Dec 27;19(12):e06933. doi: 10.2903/j.efsa.2021.6933

Table I.1.

Transmission kernels for sheep and goat pox and the impact of assumed outbreak duration on kernel selection and estimates

Kernel Function Outbreak duration
15 days 30 days 60 days 90 days
Fat‐tailed
k(d)=(1+(dd0)2)1
AIC = 3,240
d0 = 6.37 AIC = 3,214
d0 = 5.67 AIC = 3,222
d0 = 5.02 AIC = 3,287
d0 = 4.45
Gaussian
k(d)=exp((dd0)2)
AIC = 3,258
d0 = 18.5 AIC = 3,237
d0 = 17.5 AIC = 3,248
d0 = 10.8 AIC = 3,313
d0 = 10.1
Exponential
k(d)=exp(dd0)
AIC = 3,243
d0 = 10.3 AIC = 3,220
d0 = 10.1 AIC = 3,230
d0 = 10.8 AIC = 3,295
d0 = 11.4
Alternative fat‐tailed
k(d)=1+dd0α
AIC = 3,229
d0 = 1.03
α = 1.20 AIC = 3,208
d0 = 2.23
α = 1.47 AIC = 3,217
d0 = 2.27
α = 1.60 AIC = 3,280
d0 = 1.90
α = 1.60