Table 2.
Proportion of posterior distributions below, within, and above ROPE
Constant Prevalence Hypothesis | Increasing Acknowledgment Hypothesis | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Weeks after #MeToo | Below ROPE | Within ROPE | Above ROPE | Below ROPE | Within ROPE | Above ROPE | ||
10 | .61 | .29 | .10 | .03 | .11 | .86 | ||
20 | .54 | .22 | .24 | .03 | .06 | .91 | ||
30 | .50 | .16 | .34 | .04 | .04 | .92 | ||
40 | .47 | .12 | .41 | .04 | .02 | .93 | ||
50 | .45 | .09 | .46 | .04 | .02 | .94 | ||
60 | .44 | .07 | .50 | .04 | .01 | .94 | ||
70 | .43 | .05 | .52 | .04 | .01 | .95* | ||
80 | .42 | .04 | .54 | .04 | .01 | .95* |
Note. ROPE = Region of Practical Equivalence. Posterior distributions were probed at 10-week intervals after the #MeToo movement began. For the constant prevalence hypothesis, supporting evidence would include values of .95 or greater within the ROPE (never observed). For the increasing acknowledgment hypothesis, supporting evidence would include values of .95 or greater above the ROPE (which is observed beginning 70 weeks after the start of the #MeToo movement).
consistent with hypothesis