Table 1.
Fatal overdose |
Nonfatal overdose |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Weak learner/ensemble | AUROC | AUPRC | Cases | Controls | % Outcomes | AUROC | AUPRC | Cases | Controls | % Outcomes |
WL1 | 0.77 | 0.00024 | 224 | 3 566 077 | 0.0063 | 0.79 | 0.0018 | 1131 | 3 580 452 | 0.032 |
WL2 | 0.73 | 0.00023 | 0.78 | 0.0016 | ||||||
WL3 | 0.76 | 0.00023 | 0.79 | 0.0019 | ||||||
WL4 | 0.75 | 0.00024 | 0.78 | 0.0016 | ||||||
WL5 | 0.72 | 0.00026 | 0.79 | 0.0021 | ||||||
WL6 | 0.73 | 0.00027 | 0.80 | 0.0019 | ||||||
WL7 | 0.71 | 0.00023 | 0.79 | 0.0017 | ||||||
WL8 | 0.78 | 0.00024 | 0.80 | 0.0017 | ||||||
WL9 | 0.75 | 0.00025 | 0.79 | 0.0017 | ||||||
WL10 | 0.72 | 0.00026 | 0.78 | 0.0015 | ||||||
Maximum | 0.83 | 0.00040 | 963 | 14 316 606 | 0.0067 | 0.82 | 0.0014 | 4031 | 14 309 753 | 0.028 |
Minimum | 0.67 | 0.00032 | 0.76 | 0.0014 | ||||||
Mean | 0.83 | 0.00042 | 0.83 | 0.0015 | ||||||
Median | 0.80 | 0.00041 | 0.82 | 0.0015 | ||||||
LASSO | 0.79 | 0.00038 | 0.82 | 0.0015 | ||||||
Ridge | 0.83 | 0.00042 | 0.83 | 0.0016 | ||||||
Random forest | 0.38 | 0.00007 | 0.49 | 0.0004 |
Note: Ensemble models combined and calibrated weak learner model predictions from the development set.
AUPRC: area under the precision recall curve; AUROC: area under the receiver operating curve.