Table 2.

Risk concentration of the ensembled fatal and nonfatal prediction models which were validated in the test set

Fatal/Nonfatal	Ensembling method	Quantile	Prescriptions	Cases	Proportion of cases	Inclusive lower bound	Exclusive upper bound
Fatal	Mean	1	4 106 507	32	0.033	0.00E+00	1.65E−08
		2	210 474	4	0.004	1.65E−08	6.28E−08
		3	1 412 596	14	0.015	6.28E−08	3.33E−05
		4	1 429 211	33	0.034	3.33E−05	3.53E−04
		5	1 431 757	40	0.042	3.53E−04	7.07E−04
		6	1 432 104	66	0.069	7.07E−04	1.46E−03
		7	1 434 688	100	0.104	1.46E−03	2.92E−03
		8	1 428 476	171	0.178	2.92E−03	6.80E−03
		9	1 431 756	503	0.522	6.80E−03	3.34E−01
	Ridge regression	1	1 431 758	81	0.084	3.85E−05	5.47E−05
		2	4 776 940	43	0.045	5.47E−05	5.48E−05
		3	950 091	4	0.004	5.48E−05	5.48E−05
		4	1 443 236	55	0.057	5.48E−05	5.54E−05
		5	1 420 274	60	0.062	5.54E−05	5.66E−05
		6	1 431 800	103	0.107	5.66E−05	6.00E−05
		7	1 431 716	159	0.165	6.00E−05	6.73E−05
		8	1 431 754	458	0.476	6.73E−05	3.19E−01
Nonfatal	Mean	1	1 929 336	43	0.011	0.00E+00	1.93E−08
		2	933 421	25	0.006	1.93E−08	8.68E−06
		3	1 437 802	67	0.017	8.68E−06	2.50E−04
		4	1 425 055	81	0.020	2.50E−04	6.91E−04
		5	1 432 474	123	0.031	6.91E−04	1.41E−03
		6	1 430 183	143	0.035	1.41E−03	2.55E−03
		7	1 431 883	290	0.072	2.55E−03	4.50E−03
		8	1 431 048	415	0.103	4.50E−03	8.04E−03
		9	1 431 205	835	0.207	8.04E−03	1.59E−02
		10	1 431 377	2009	0.498	1.59E−02	2.86E−01
	Ridge regression	1	1 431 493	106	0.026	1.33E−04	2.11E−04
		2	2 073 804	45	0.011	2.11E−04	2.11E−04
		3	788 932	19	0.005	2.11E−04	2.11E−04
		4	1 431 285	96	0.024	2.11E−04	2.14E−04
		5	1 432 043	143	0.035	2.14E−04	2.21E−04
		6	1 430 714	172	0.042	2.21E−04	2.31E−04
		7	1 431 378	239	0.059	2.31E−04	2.49E−04
		8	1 431 379	478	0.119	2.49E−04	2.85E−04
		9	1 431 378	807	0.200	2.85E−04	3.85E−04
		10	1 431 378	1926	0.478	3.85E−04	9.97E−01