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. 2021 Dec 29;11:24491. doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-04029-6

Table 1.

Predictive models generated by the CBA.

New canfirmed (NC) C% S% New deaths (ND) C% S%

IF: 800_ < _NC_ < _2200 and

40_ < _isol_avg_index_ < _45 and

15_ < _dew_pointMax_ < _18

THEN→ 800_ < _NC7_SP_ < _2200

81.5 5

IF: soil_wat_avail_ < _55 and

ND_ > _75 and

tAvg _ < _20

THEN→ ND7_SP_ > _75

100 6.4

IF: 3_<_pot_evapo_<_5 and

urMax_>_91 and

death_rate_<_9

THEN→ NC2_RJ_<_240

(C%: 81.2, S%: 5.6)

81.2 5.6

IF: soil_wat_avail_ < _55 and

ND_ > _75 and

May

THEN→ ND7_SP_ > _75

100 5.6

IF: NC_<_240 and

urMax_>_91 and

March

THEN→ NC6_RJ_<_240

(C%: 100, S%: 5)

100 5

IF: ND_ > _75 and

tMax _ < _25 and

0_ < _sum_rain_t3_ < _5

THEN→ ND7_SP_ > _75

100 6.4

IF: NC_ < _240 and

death_rate_ < _9 and

March

THEN→ NC7_RJ_ < _240

100 6

IF: 36_ < _ urMin _ < _48 and

NC_ < _240 and

death_rate_ < _9

THEN→ ND4_RJ_ < _25

96.9 6.8

IF: NC_ < _240 and

urMax _ > _91 and

March

THEN→ NC7_RJ_ < _240

100 5.1

IF: NC_ < _240 and

death_rate_ < _9 and

March

THEN→ ND7_RJ_ < _25

100 6

IF: dew_pointMin _>_16 and

NC_<_240 and

March

THEN→ NC7_RJ_<_240

100 5

IF: NC_ < _240 and

urMax _ > _91 and

March

THEN→ ND7_RJ_ < _25

100 5.1

IF: death_rate_ < _5 and

total_conf_ > _85000

THEN→ NC2_Manaus_ > _400

100 8

IF: ND_ > _15 and

total_deaths_ > _3300 and

sum_rain_t5_ > _45

THEN→ ND2_Manaus_ > _15

90.1 9.1

IF: death_rate_ < _5 and

total_deaths_ > _3300 and

avg_rad_t5_ < _12

THEN→ NC6_Manaus_ > _400

100 6.7

IF: ND_ > _15 and

total_deaths_ > _3300 and

tMax _ < _31

THEN→ ND1_Manaus_ > _15

93.7 10.2

IF:ND_ > _15 and

NC_ > _400 and

5_ < _sum_rain_t3_ < _26

THEN→ NC1_Manaus_ > _400

90.3 6.3

IF: ND_ > _15 and

NC_ > _400 and

avg_rad_t7_ < _12

THEN→ ND6_Manaus_ > _15

100 10.8

IF:death_rate_ < _5 and

total_deaths_ > _3300 and

avg_rad_t3_ < _12

THEN→ NC4_Manaus_ > _400

100 6.7

IF: dew_pointMin _ > _21 and

ND_ > _15 and

NC_ > _400

THEN→ ND7_Manaus_ > _15

93.5 9.9

IF:death_rate_ < _5 and

total_deaths_ > _330 and

sum_rain_t7_ > _70

THEN→ NC6_Manaus_ > _400

100 6.7

IF: drought_=_0 and

ND_ > _15 and

NC_ > _400

THEN→ ND6_Manaus_ > _15

94.2 11.2