Extended Data Table 7:
Parameter (example covariate) | Known value | Posterior mean (95% Bayesian credible interval) |
---|---|---|
Beta1 (baseline immunity) | 2.0 | 1.67 (−0.43, 3.62) |
Beta2 (time) | 0.1 | 0.18 (0.13, 0.23) |
sigma1 | 0.6 | 0.49 (0.43, 0.55) |
sigma2 | 0.2 | 0.17 (0.09, 0.27) |