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. 2021 Aug 20;41(1):19–31. doi: 10.1007/s10067-021-05819-z

Table 4.

Details of the studies investigating the potential predictors of relapses

Author, year Patients (N) Type of study Recruitment period Classification criteria Relapse criteria Relapse rate Potential predictors of relapses
Lee JH, 2013 [33] 39 R na Bird's C, L 15 (38%) Initial CRP > 2.5 mg/dl (OR 6.3) and the use of hydroxychloroquine (OR 6.798). Female gender (OR 10.683, p = 0.052). MTX and other DMARDs did not associated with occurrence of relapse
Macchioni P, 2009 [34] 57 P na na C, L, T 22 (39%) Positive PD signal at diagnosis (63.6 vs 15.4%)
de la Torre ML, 2020 [36] 86 P 2017 C.L

40 (47%)

15 (17%)

MTX in PMR patients who already had a relapse reduced the number of future relapses and decreased the time to achieve remission
Fukui S, 2016 [37] 115 P 2004–2013 ACR/EULAR C, L, T 29 (23%) Female gender (OR 2.73) and creatinine > 50 μmol/L (OR, 2.48) associated with occurrence of relapses. No association was reported between occurrence of relapse and age, APR, GC initial dose, speed of GC tapering and peripheral arthritis
Kimura M, 2012 [38] 123 R 2000–2009 Hunder’s C, L

29 (23%);

7 (5.7%)

No significant difference with RS3PE
Mackie SL, 2010 [24] 169 R 1989–2000 Bird’s C, T 83 (49.1%) No association was recorded between occurrence of relapses and age, sex, APR and GC initial does
Boiardi L, 2006 [39] 112 P 1993–1997 ns C, L 49 (43.7%) Persistently elevated IL- 6 levels, but not the CC genotype
Cimmino MA, 2008 [26] 57 Obs. Ext. of RCT 1998–1999 Chuang’s C. L.T 20 (35%) Flare- ups of PMR were seen in 8/26 (30.8%) MTX-treated patients in comparison with 12/27 (44.4%) controls
Salvarani C, 2005 [40] 94 P 1994–1997 Descriptive C, L, T 47 (50.0%) Persistently elevated levels of CRP (RR ranging between 2 and 5) and persistently elevated levels of IL-6 (RR 4–13) associated with occurrence of relapses. Age, sex and GC initial dose and peripheral arthritis did not predict relapses
Kremers HM, 2005 [41] 284 R 1970–1999 Descriptive C, T 55% Higher ESR (HR 1.14); higher initial GCs dose (HR 1.07); fast tapering of GCs (HR 4.27), medium CS tapering (HR 2.19). Age, sex and peripheral arthritis did not associate with relapses
Martínez-Taboda VM, 2004 [42] 54 R na Descriptive C, T 18 (33.3%) Increased expression of the HLA-DRB1*09 allele (5.6% vs 0%)
Gonzalez-Gay MA, 2002 [43] 86 R na Descriptive C, L*, T

18 (20.9%)

3 (3.5%)

No differences in CRH-A or B alleles and genotypes
Amoli MM, 2002 [44] 72 R na Descriptive C, T 18 (22%) HLA-DRB1*0401 and the ICAM-1 codon 241 GG homozygosity
Boiardi L, 2000 [45] 92 P 1992–1996 Descriptive C, L, T 40 (44%) IL-1A (+ 4845), IL-B (-511), IL-B (+ 3954), IL-1RN Intron 2 VNTR and TNFA (-308) no associated with the disease severity
Salvarani C, 2000 [46] 88 P 1992–1996 Descriptive C, L, T 37 (42%) No association with CCR5∆32

P, prospective; R, retrospective; Obs.ext. of RCT, observational extension of a randomized clinical trial; Mths, months, yrs; Yrs, years; Rheum, rheumatology; APR, acute-phase reactants; CRP, C-reactive protein; ESR, erythrocyte sedimentation rate; OR, odds ratio; HR, hazard ratio; adjHR, adjusted HR; NA, not available; MTX, methotrexate; ACR, American College of Rheumatology; EULAR, European League Against Rheumatisms