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. 2021 May 4;64(1):59–67. doi: 10.1007/s00234-021-02728-5

Table 3.

Number of outcomes and Kaplan–Meier curve–based risk of the outcome among near-occlusions at different time intervals after presenting event. Different definitions of full collapse are presented. Conventional ≥ 50% stenosis group presented for general comparison. The outcome was preoperative recurrent ipsilateral ischemic stroke or ipsilateral retinal artery occlusion

Definition of full collapse Full collapse Cases (% of near-occlusions) 2 days 7 days 14 days 28 days pa
n % Risk (95%CI) n % Risk (95%CI) n % Risk (95%CI) n % Risk (95%CI)
Traditional, by appearance No 69 (59) 4 6 (0–11) 6 9 (2–15) 7 11 (3–18) 7 11 (3–18) 0.047
Yes 47 (41) 8 17 (6–28) 9 19 (8–30) 10 21 (10–33) 12 27 (14–39)
Distal ICA diameter ≤ 2.4 mm No 58 (50) 1 2 (0–5) 2 4 (0–8) 2 4 (0–8) 2 4 (0–8)  < 0.001
Yes 58 (50) 11 19 (9–29) 13 22 (12–33) 15 26 (15–38) 17 31 (18–43)
Distal ICA diameter ≤ 2.0 mm No 71 (61) 3 4 (0–9) 4 6 (0–11) 4 6 (0–11) 4 6 (0–11)  < 0.001
Yes 45 (39) 9 20 (8–32) 11 24 (12–37) 13 29 (16–43) 15 34 (20–48)
ICA ratio ≤ 0.47 No 68 (61) 2 3 (0–7) 4 6 (0–12) 4 6 (0–12) 4 6 (0–12)  < 0.001
Yes 44 (39) 10 23 (10–35) 11 25 (12–38) 13 30 (16–43) 15 35 (21–50)
ECA ratio ≤ 0.96 No 43 (37) 2 5 (0–11) 4 10 (1–18) 4 10 (1–18) 4 10 (1–18)  < 0.001
Yes 73 (63) 10 14 (6–22) 11 15 (7–23) 13 18 (9–27) 15 22 (12–32)
Distal ICA diameter ≤ 2.0 mm and/or ICA ratio ≤ 0.42 No 70 (60) 2 3 (0–7) 3 4 (0–9) 3 4 (0–9) 3 4 (0–9)  < 0.001
Yes 46 (40) 10 22 (10–34) 12 26 (13–39) 14 31 (17–44) 16 36 (22–50)
Conventional ≥ 50% stenosis 315 (NA) 9 3 (1–5) 16 5 (3–8) 25 10 (6–13) 27 11 (7–15) NA

95%CI 95% confidence interval, ECA external carotid artery, ICA internal carotid artery, NA not applicable

aLog rank test between the two near-occlusion groups, i.e., conventional ≥ 50% stenosis group not included in these calculations