Table 5.
The percentage of human isolates attributed to ruminants, broilers, layers, pigs, and other unsampled sources with 95% credible intervals for models without covariates or temporal variation
| Ruminants | Broilers | Layers | Pigs | Unsampled | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equal- | |||||
| without unsampled source | 41.3 (21.0–58.7) | 0.02 (0.0–0.05) | 56.9 (39.1–74.2) | 1.8 (0.0–8.3) | – |
| with unsampled source | 36.0 (16.9–55.5) | 0.01 (0.0–0.03) | 57.7 (39.7–74.0) | 0.4 (0.0–3.1) | 5.8 (0.0–10.7) |
| Variable- | |||||
| without unsampled source | 24.7 (0.0–55.8) | 13.1 (0.0–44.9) | 44.3 (9.8–76.7) | 17.8 (0.0–39.1) | – |
| with unsampled source | 10.5 (0.0–34.8) | 18.2 (0.0–66.1) | 48.4 (5.4–79.6) | 12.1 (0.0–31.8) | 11.3 (1.2–22.1) |
In the equal- model all Salmonella serotypes are assumed to be equally efficient in their ability to cause infection in humans, while in the variable- model (equivalent to the modified Hald model [20]) serotypes are allowed to differ in their efficiency