Table 4.
Modeling differences in street price and number of sales.
| Parameters | Model estimate | P value | Exponentiated parameter (95% CI) | |||||
| Differences in street pricea | ||||||||
|
|
Simplified linear model | |||||||
|
|
|
Intercept | 2.36 | <.001 | 10.6 (6.93-16.3) | |||
|
|
|
Drug (reference: tapentadol) | 0.089 | .67 | 1.09 (0.729-1.64) | |||
|
|
|
Year | −0.032 | .35 | 0.968 (0.904-1.04) | |||
|
|
Linear model with potency added | |||||||
|
|
|
Intercept | 2.10 | <.001 | 8.19 (5.36-12.5) | |||
|
|
|
Drug (reference: tapentadol) | 0.191 | .34 | 1.21 (0.816-1.79) | |||
|
|
|
Year | −0.0326 | .33 | 0.968 (0.906-1.03) | |||
|
|
|
10-MMEb increase | 0.0754 | <.001 | 1.08 (1.05-1.10) | |||
| Quarterly number of sales | ||||||||
|
|
Simplified Poisson model | |||||||
|
|
|
Intercept | −1.23 | .004 | 0.294 (0.127-0.677) | |||
|
|
|
Drug (reference: tapentadol) | 3.99 | <.001 | 54.2 (27.0-109) | |||
|
|
|
Total website reports | 0.00465 | <.001 | 1.005 (1.003-1.007) | |||
|
|
Poisson model with availability added | |||||||
|
|
|
Intercept | −2.03 | <.001 | 0.131 (0.0457-0.378) | |||
|
|
|
Drug (reference: tapentadol) | 0.0482 | .98 | 1.05 (0.0289-38.1) | |||
|
|
|
Total website reports | 0.00557 | <.001 | 1.006 (1.003-1.008) | |||
|
|
|
100,000-unit increase in standard units sold | 0.00882 | .03 | 1.01 (1.00-1.02) | |||
aStreet price, the dependent variable, was log-transformed for modeling.
bMME: morphine milligram equivalents.