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. 2021 Dec 15;128(1):21–32. doi: 10.1038/s41437-021-00485-y

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© The Author(s) 2021

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

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Fig. 3 — Genetic (A) and genic (B) variance estimated with the full Bayesian approach for parents in year 16, F₁ progeny (F1) in year 17, headrows (HDRW) in year 18, preliminary yield trial (PYT) in year 19, advanced yield trial (AYT) in year 20 and elite yield trial (EYT) in year 21; black lines denote the true values and densities depict posterior distributions.