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. 2022 Jan 6;32(1):14. doi: 10.1007/s11222-021-10074-y

Table 9.

Posterior statistics for the Dengue Fever and COVID-19 models

a b1 c1 d1 b2 c1 d2 IIF Pred. Time Pred. IIF
CE Mean 248.3 8.80 2.47 - 2.22 12.78 1.25 0.99 30558.3
s.d. 1.67 2.04 0.082 0.088 1.00 0.024 0.13 174.2
PR Mean 3510.4 154.2 77.5 - 8.17 80 46.6 0.785 331541 314.4 (July 12th) 9266.8
s.d. 18.9 1.28 0.66 0.087 - 0.282 0.043 574.7 0.80 242.0
Swi. Mean 1295.7 10.20 98.11 -4.16 22.14 36.14 0.64 30548.9
s.d. 4.06 1.51 1.81 0.07 1.55 0.84 0.096 169.5
Rom. Mean 358.6 0.78 19.14 - 4.00 0 5.77 0.66 19137.6 147.9 (July 23rd) 3096.3
s.d. 10.10 0.36 0.47 0.11 - 0.31 0.46 138.4 7.44 471.6

IIF is the integrated IF in the observed interval, Pred. time is the predictive time at which the IF reaches 110 and Pred. IIF is the predictive integrated IF until that time