Table 4.
Predictive Model | AUROC | Pa value | IDI | P value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Training set | Nomogram | 0.743 (0.713–0.773) | |||
SOFA | 0.647 (0.616–0.684) | < 0.001 | 9.73% (7.48–11.98%) | < 0.001 | |
SAPSII | 0.707 (0.668–0.741) | 0.004 | 6.84% (4.60–9.08%) | < 0.001 | |
Validation set | Nomogram | 0.746 (0.699–0.790) | |||
SOFA | 0.596 (0.543–0.654) | < 0.001 | 14.06% (10.71–17.41%) | < 0.001 | |
SAPSII | 0.664 (0.613–0.715) | 0.007 | 11.68% (8.06–15.30%) | < 0.001 |
AUROC area under the receiver operating characteristic curve; IDI integrated discrimination improvement
aDelong’s test was used for testing the difference of AUROC between SOFA SAPS II scores and the nomogram model. In training set, result of AUROC between SOFA and the nomogram is Z = −5.0879 (p < 0.01), result of AUROC between SAPII and the nomogram is Z = 2.8677 (p = 0.004); in validation set,result of AUROC between SOFA and the nomogram is Z = −5.5984 (p < 0.01), result of AUROC between SAPII and the nomogram is Z = 2.7171 (p = 0.007)