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. 2022 Jan 10;12:369. doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-04251-2

Table 2.

Projected mean WBT and days exceeding historic maximum (26.0 °C) and the referent temperature (6.7 °C) in each projected 5-year period.

Projected year range RCP 4.5 RCP 8.5
Mean daily WBT (°C) (IQR) # Days above 26.0 °C # Days above 6.7 °C Mean daily WBT (°C) (IQR) # Days above 26.0 °C # Days above 6.7 °C
2025–2029 14.5 (8.7–21.2) 0 1525 14.5 (8.8–21.1) 0 1550
2030–2034 14.5 (8.7–21.1) 0 1526 14.4 (8.9–21.1) 0 1543
2035–2039 14.3 (8.3–21.3) 0 1490 14.6 (8.5–21.6) 0 1515
2040–2044 14.4 (8.3–21.3) 0 1496 14.9 (8.9–21.5) 0 1572
2045–2049 14.6 (8.5–21.6) 0 1527 15.2 (9.6–21.9) 0 1586
2050–2054 14.6 (8.6–21.6) 0 1536 15.3 (9.3–22.1) 0 1591
2055–2059 14.9 (9.1–22.0) 0 1565 15.7 (10.1–22.6) 4 1624
2060–2064 15.1 (9.0–21.9) 0 1565 15.7 (9.9–22.6) 5 1620
2065–2069 15.0 (9.1–21.7) 0 1564 15.9 (9.5–22.7) 8 1642
2070–2074 14.9 (8.8–22.0) 0 1576 16.0 (10.2–22.7) 7 1664
2075–2079 14.9 (8.6–22.2) 0 1516 16.5 (10.6–23.2) 23 1703
2080–2084 15.3 (9.2–22.4) 0 1594 16.5 (10.7–23.3) 46 1687
2085–2089 15.3 (9.3–22.2) 0 1576 16.8 (10.7–23.8) 69 1665