Table 3.
Increase in the number of kidney stones attributed to heat (defined as WBT above 6.7 °C) and associated charges projected under RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 by 5-year interval between 2025 and 2089, versus 2010–2014 baseline.
| Years | RCP 4.5 | RCP 8.5 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Increase in heat-related kidney stones presentations (95% CI) | Associated excess charges | Increase in heat-related kidney stones presentations (95% CI) | Associated excess charges | |
| 2025–2029 | 212 (61–396) | $2,019,501.40 | 258 (128–443) | $2,457,695.10 |
| 2030–2034 | 316 (179–450) | $3,010,200.20 | 348 (94–673) | $3,315,030.60 |
| 2035–2039 | 284 (154–457) | $2,705,369.80 | 250 (133–436) | $2,381,487.50 |
| 2040–2044 | 416 (270–565) | $3,962,795.20 | 548 (285–849) | $5,220,220.60 |
| 2045–2049 | 305 (94–514) | $2,905,414.75 | 541 (301–853) | $5,153,538.95 |
| 2050–2054 | 341 (181–522) | $3,248,348.95 | 695 (413–1078) | $6,620,535.25 |
| 2055–2059 | 433 (192–782) | $4,124,736.35 | 801 (401–1290) | $7,630,285.95 |
| 2060–2064 | 601 (368–874) | $5,725,095.95 | 1011 (553–1674) | $9,630,735.45 |
| 2065–2069 | 607 (236–1025) | $5,782,251.65 | 1010 (597–1521) | $9,621,209.50 |
| 2070–2074 | 523 (245–1008) | $4,982,071.85 | 1102 (546–1846) | $10,497,596.90 |
| 2075–2079 | 499 (229–800) | $4,753,449.05 | 1110 (558–1854) | $10,573,804.50 |
| 2080–2084 | 615 (217–1094) | $5,858,459.25 | 1348 (720–2200) | $12,840,980.60 |
| 2085–2089 | 786 (289–1448) | $7,487,396.70 | 1409 (717–2256) | $13,422,063.55 |