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. 2022 Jan 13;20:7. doi: 10.1186/s12916-021-02200-4

Table 2.

Associations between consumption of ultra-processed food and incident type 2 diabetes

Quartiles of ultra-processed food consumption
First Second Third Fourth P-trend Continuousa P value
Cases/population 255/17,604 247/17,606 272/17,605 354/17,606 1128/70,421
Incidence, % 1.4 1.4 1.5 2.0 1.6
Model 1b 1 1.11 (0.93, 1.33) 1.39 (1.17, 1.65) 2.17 (1.83, 2.58) < 0.001 1.33 (1.26, 1.41) < 0.001
Model 2c 1 1.08 (0.90, 1.30) 1.30 (1.07, 1.57) 1.87 (1.52, 2.30) < 0.001 1.27 (1.18, 1.36) < 0.001
Model 3d 1 1.08 (0.90, 1.30) 1.28 (1.06, 1.55) 1.80 (1.47, 2.20) < 0.001 1.25 (1.16, 1.34) < 0.001
Model 4e 1 1.04 (0.87, 1.26) 1.20 (0.99, 1.45) 1.56 (1.27, 1.92) < 0.001 1.17 (1.09, 1.26) < 0.001

aContinuous model indicates OR (95% CI) for an absolute increment of 10% consumption of ultra-processed food in the total diet

bModel 1: OR (95% CI) derived from multivariate logistic regression models adjusted for age and sex, n = 70,421

cModel 2: OR (95% CI) derived from multivariate logistic regression models adjusted for Model 1 covariates plus Lifelines diet score, total energy intake, and alcohol intake, n = 70,421

dModel 3: OR (95% CI) derived from multivariate logistic regression models adjusted for Model 2 covariates plus smoking status, educational level, non-occupational moderate-to-vigorous physical activity level, and TV watching time, n = 70,418

eModel 4: OR (95% CI) derived from multivariate logistic regression models adjusted for Model 3 covariates plus BMI, n = 70,403