Table 1.

Posterior means and 95% credible intervals of model parameters from original calibration to targets y, and from the model that is recalibrated to $\{y,z\}$ using a start from scratch approach as well as a sequential calibration approach

Parameter	Original posterior	New targets (start from scratch)	New targets (sequential)
Sojourn time
${\lambda }_2$	3.72 (2.20, 4.92)	2.38 (2.02, 3.07)	2.42 (2.02, 3.23)
${\lambda }_1$	2.57 (2.27, 3.06)	3.77 (3.35, 4.16)	3.80 (3.36, 4.18)
${\lambda }_3$	− 0.35 (− 0.96, 0.67)	0.87 (0.65, 0.99)	0.86 (0.61, 0.99)

Refer to  “The microsimulation model for colorectal cancer” section for details on model component distributions and parameters