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. 2022 Jan 15;15(3):247–266. doi: 10.1007/s41060-021-00295-9

Table 2.

Average weekly mean absolute error of COVID-19 cases per county over the whole evaluation period

Forecast horizon
1 week 2 weeks 3 weeks 4 weeks
CMU-TimeSeries 810.90 1235.14 1531.42 1706.18
UMass-MechBayes 457.82 711.11 962.01 1307.32
Google_Harvard-CPF 136.07 200.91 259.87 321.32
FAIR-NRAR 98.31 156.96 192.08 213.10
COVIDhub-baseline 91.13 139.55 180.14 214.62
COVIDhub-ensemble 78.77 121.87 155.40 183.32
COVID-LSTM 87.29 110.97 121.46 133.22

Model with lowest error shown in bold