Table 2.
Average weekly mean absolute error of COVID-19 cases per county over the whole evaluation period
| Forecast horizon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 week | 2 weeks | 3 weeks | 4 weeks | |
| CMU-TimeSeries | 810.90 | 1235.14 | 1531.42 | 1706.18 |
| UMass-MechBayes | 457.82 | 711.11 | 962.01 | 1307.32 |
| Google_Harvard-CPF | 136.07 | 200.91 | 259.87 | 321.32 |
| FAIR-NRAR | 98.31 | 156.96 | 192.08 | 213.10 |
| COVIDhub-baseline | 91.13 | 139.55 | 180.14 | 214.62 |
| COVIDhub-ensemble | 78.77 | 121.87 | 155.40 | 183.32 |
| COVID-LSTM | 87.29 | 110.97 | 121.46 | 133.22 |
Model with lowest error shown in bold