Table 4.
Results of the two-class latent class model.
| Attribute | Alternative | Multinomial Logit Model |
Error Component Latent Class Model |
||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 1 |
Class 2 |
||||||||||
| Estimate | t-statistics | Estimate | t-statistics | Estimate | t-statistics | ||||||
| Travel context | |||||||||||
| COVID-19 restrictions policy | |||||||||||
| Lockdown Level 3 | Not travel | 1.07*** | 14.1 | 2.09*** | 9.79 | 2.5*** | 3.73 | ||||
| Lockdown Level 2 | Not travel | 0.426*** | 5.23 | 0.534*** | 3.13 | 1.21** | 2.06 | ||||
| Lockdown Level 1 | Not travel | −0.244*** | −2.64 | −0.676*** | −3.77 | −0.168 | −0.373 | ||||
| Totally open | Not travel | −1.252 | – | −1.95 | – | −3.54 | – | ||||
| Travel Purpose | |||||||||||
| Work | Not travel | −0.209** | −2.45 | −0.589*** | −3.12 | 0.817 | 1.64 | ||||
| Social | Not travel | 0.237*** | 2.91 | 0.346* | 1.87 | 0.869* | 1.87 | ||||
| Shopping | Not travel | −0.181** | −2.16 | −0.18 | −0.903 | −0.945* | −1.86 | ||||
| Leisure | Not travel | 0.153 | – | 0.42 | – | −0.74 | – | ||||
| Alternative-specific attributes | |||||||||||
| Travel cost (€) | Bus, Car, and SEB | −0.178** | −2.16 | −0.267** | −2.2 | −0.048 | −0.307 | ||||
| Travel time (min) | All modes | −0.304*** | −6.15 | −0.27*** | −3.07 | −0.52*** | −4.4 | ||||
| Out-of-vehicle time (min) | Bus | −0.335 | −1.12 | −0.425 | −0.8 | −0.482 | −0.553 | ||||
| Requirement of Facemask | Bus | 0.009 | 0.129 | −0.173 | −1.42 | 1.28 | 0.526 | ||||
| 1.5-m social distance rule | Bus | −0.049 | −0.721 | −0.156 | −1.24 | 1.24** | 2.04 | ||||
| Offering hand rubs | Bus | −0.0381 | −0.562 | 0.103 | 0.845 | −0.23 | −0.555 | ||||
| Onboard passengers' limitation (%) | |||||||||||
| 25% of the total seats | Bus | 0.16 | 1.44 | 0.025 | 0.128 | 3.62** | 2.26 | ||||
| 50% of the total seats | Bus | 0.058 | 0.503 | 0.258 | 1.25 | −1.54 | −0.638 | ||||
| 75% of the total seats | Bus | −0.045 | −0.375 | −0.0812 | −0.388 | −0.288 | −0.116 | ||||
| 100% of the total seats | Bus | −0.1731 | – | −0.20 | – | −1.79 | – | ||||
| Disinfection frequency | |||||||||||
| Every journey | Bus | 0.138 | 1.23 | 0.209 | 1.1 | 3.59 | 0.743 | ||||
| Once per 4 journeys | Bus | 0.19* | 1.72 | 0.379* | 1.9 | 4.48 | 0.945 | ||||
| Once per 8 journeys | Bus | −0.198 | −1.55 | −0.502** | −2.15 | −4.52 | −0.94 | ||||
| Once a day | Bus | −0.13 | – | −0.09 | – | −3.55 | – | ||||
| ASCs | |||||||||||
| Constant 1 | Car | 0.494*** | 4.13 | 2.92*** | 3.08 | 5.26*** | 3.17 | ||||
| Constant 2 | Bus | −0.781*** | −3.58 | −1.27 | −0.968 | −9 | −0.507 | ||||
| Constant 3 | Bike | 1.38*** | 15.3 | 3.4*** | 4.47 | 5.78*** | 3.75 | ||||
| Constant 4 | SEB | −2.12*** | −11.3 | −0.02 | −0.0218 | −0.221 | −0.137 | ||||
| Constant 5 | Walk | 0.311 | 1.46 | 3.08*** | 3.43 | 4.81*** | 2.79 | ||||
| SD of the random panel effect parameter | |||||||||||
| Deviation 1 | Car | – | – | 6.69*** | 3.57 | ||||||
| Deviation 2 | Bus | – | – | 1.17 | 1.04 | ||||||
| Deviation 3 | Bike | – | – | 7.5*** | 3.2 | ||||||
| Deviation 4 | SEB | – | – | 2.48* | 1.9 | ||||||
| Deviation 5 | Walk | – | – | 5.04*** | 2.6 | ||||||
| Error components for nests of alternatives parameters | |||||||||||
| Component Deviation | Share Space | – | – | 2.19* | 1.82 | ||||||
| Class membership | |||||||||||
| Constant | – | – | 21.8*** | 4.83 | 0 | (fixed) | |||||
| Education level (−1: HAVO/VWO and below, 1: Bachelor degree or above) | – | – | −4.31*** | −3.98 | 0 | (fixed) | |||||
| Gender (1: male, −1: female) | – | – | 2.03*** | 3.24 | 0 | (fixed) | |||||
| Job (−1: employed, 1: unemployed/retired) | – | – | −0.244 | −1.37 | 0 | (fixed) | |||||
| Marital (−1: single or couple with no children, 1: couple with one or more children) | – | – | −2.38*** | −3.69 | 0 | (fixed) | |||||
| Age (years) | – | – | −0.877*** | −4.79 | 0 | (fixed) | |||||
| Class probability | – | – | 0.597 | 0.403 | |||||||
| Goodness-of-fit | |||||||||||
| LL | −4430.977 | −4311.537 | |||||||||
| # of observations | 3152 | 3152 | |||||||||
| # of parameters | 23 | 58 | |||||||||
| 0.215 | 0.262 | ||||||||||
| 0.211 | 0.252 | ||||||||||
Note: SEB means shared E-bike *** Estimates whose p-value are less than 0.01.** Estimates whose p-value are less than 0.05.* Estimates whose p-value are less than 0.10.