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. 2022 Jan 29;399(10323):437–446. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(22)00017-4

Table 1.

Multivariable logistic regression analysis evaluating factors associated with SGTF versus non-SGTF SARS-CoV-2 infection, South Africa, Oct 1–Nov 30, 2021* (n=11 255)

Non-SGTF SGTF Odds ratio (95% CI) Adjusted odds ratio (95% CI) p value
Age group
<5 years 21/948 (2·2%) 135/10 547 (1·3%) 1·5 (0·9–2·4) 1·0 (0·6–1·9) 0·88
5–12 years 41/948 (4·3%) 581/10 547 (5·5%) 3·2 (2·3–4·7) 1·6 (1·0–2·5) 0·033
13–18 years 59/948 (6·2%) 610/10 547 (5·8%) 2·4 (1·7–3·3) 1·8 (1·2–2·6) 0·004
19–24 years 88/948 (9·3%) 1027/10 547 (9·7%) 2·7 (2·0–3·6) 2·6 (1·9–3·7) <0·001
25–39 years 305/948 (32·2%) 4664/10 547 (44·2%) 3·5 (2·8–4·3) 2·8 (2·2–3·7) <0·001
40–59 years 283/948 (29·9%) 2873/10 547 (27·2%) 2·3 (1·9–2·9) 1·7 (1·3–2·3) <0·001
≥60 years 151/948 (15·9%) 657/10 547 (6·2%) 1 (ref) 1 (ref) ..
Sex
Male 417/933 (44·7%) 4612/10 471 (44·0%) 1 (ref) 1 (ref) ..
Female 516/933 (55·3%) 5859/10 471 (56·0%) 1·0 (0·9–1·2) 1·1 (0·9–1·3) 0·27
Province
Eastern Cape 0 9/10 435 (0·1%) .. .. ..
Free State 67/918 (7·3%) 55/10 435 (0·5%) 0·6 (0·4–0·9) 1·1 (0·7–1·7) 0·71
Gauteng 424/918 (46·2%) 9083/10 435 (87·0%) 15·6 (12·2–20·0) 12·1 (9·2–16·0) <0·001
KwaZulu-Natal 197/918 (21·5%) 337/10 435 (3·2%) 1·2 (0·9–1·7) 1·0 (0·7–1·3) 0·81
Limpopo 12/918 (1·3%) 245/10 435 (2·3%) 14·9 (8·0–27·8) 5·6 (2·9–10·7) <0·001
Mpumalanga 10/918 (1·1%) 231/10 435 (2·2%) 16·9 (8·6–33·1) 6·0 (3·0–12·0) <0·001
North West 14/918 (1·5%) 260/10 435 (2·5%) 13·6 (7·6–24·3) 6·6 (3·5–12·5) <0·001
Northern Cape 67/918 (7·3%) 41/10 435 (0·4%) 0·4 (0·3–0·7) 0·8 (0·5–1·3) 0·41
Western Cape 127/918 (13·8%) 174/10 435 (1·7%) 1 (ref) 1 (ref) ..
Hospital admission
No 827/948 (87·2%) 10 286/10 547 (97·5%) 1 (ref) 1 (ref) ..
Yes 121/948 (12·8%) 261/10 547 (2·5%) 0·2 (0·1–0·2) 0·2 (0·1–0·3) <0·001
Health-care sector
Public 635/948 (67·0%) 2391/10 547 (22·7%) 1 (ref) 1 (ref) ..
Private 313/948 (33·0%) 8156/10 547 (77·3%) 6·9 (6·0–8·0) 5·4 (4·5–6·4) <0·001
Reinfection
No 905/948 (95·5%) 9447/10 547 (89·6%) 1 (ref) 1 (ref) ..
Yes 43/948 (4·5%) 1100/10 547 (10·4%) 2·5 (1·8–3·3) 1·3 (0·9–1·9) 0·18

Data are n/N (%), unless otherwise specified. SGTF=S gene target failure.

*

Patients with COVID-19 followed up for hospital admission until Dec 21, 2021.

SGTF was a proxy for the omicron variant (B.1.1.529).

Reinfection was defined by an individual having at least one positive SARS-CoV-2 test more than 90 days before the current positive SARS-CoV-2 test.