Skip to main content
. 2022 Jan 20;116:365–373. doi: 10.1016/j.ijid.2022.01.036

Table 1.

The estimated effective reproductive number (R), overdispersion parameter (k), proportion of infectious cases responsible for 80% of all cases, and proportion of cases that did not generate any secondary transmissions stratified by the phase and age group.

N R (95%CI) k (95%CI) *Prop80% (95%CI) ⁎⁎Prop0% (95%CI)
Whole Period All 16471 0.47 (0.45–0.49) 0.23 (0.22–0.25) 13.3% (12.8%–13.9%) 77.2% (76.3%–78.1%)
0-19 847 0.36 (0.30–0.43) 0.22 (0.17–0.29) 12.1% (9.9%–14.6%) 80.7% (76.8%–84%)
20-39 7647 0.41 (0.38–0.43) 0.21 (0.19–0.23) 12.1% (11.4%–12.9%) 79.7% (78.4%–80.9%)
40-69 5832 0.52 (0.49–0.55) 0.29 (0.26–0.32) 15.4% (14.4%–16.3%) 74.1% (72.6%–75.8%)
70- 1996 0.62 (0.55–0.69) 0.21 (0.18–0.24) 13% (11.6%–14.5%) 74.9% (72.1%–77.5%)
Phase1 All 2415 0.53 (0.48–0.58) 0.21 (0.18–0.24) 12.6% (11.4%–13.9%) 76.9% (74.4%–79.1%)
0-19 62 0.24 (0.11–0.45) 0.42 (0.12–Inf) 12.6% (5.4%–27.3%) 82.6% (63.7%–92.4%)
20-39 762 0.35 (0.29–0.42) 0.24 (0.18–0.33) 12.4% (10%–15.3%) 80.6% (76.3%–84.2%)
40-69 1233 0.57 (0.50–0.65) 0.22 (0.19–0.27) 13.3% (11.6%–15.3%) 75.3% (71.6%–78.4%)
70- 343 0.83 (0.62–1.06) 0.20 (0.15–0.28) 13.9% (10.7%–17.6%) 72% (64.7%–78.3%)
Phase2 All 1738 0.37 (0.32–0.42) 0.19 (0.16–0.23) 11.2% (9.7%–12.9%) 81.5% (78.8%–83.9%)
0-19 44 0.2 (0.07–0.43) 0.53 (0.08–Inf) 11.8% (3.5%–26.4%) 84.1% (64.9%–95.1%)
20-39 471 0.24 (0.17–0.31) 0.16 (0.10–0.24) 8.8% (6.2%–11.9%) 86.4% (81.9%–90.4%)
40-69 823 0.44 (0.36–0.53) 0.20 (0.15–0.26) 11.9% (9.7%–14.5%) 79.2% (74.8%–83%)
70- 364 0.39 (0.29–0.5) 0.24 (0.16–0.36) 12.9% (9.5%–16.9%) 79.3% (73.1%–84.7%)
Phase3 All 6397 0.50 (0.47–0.53) 0.25 (0.23–0.27) 13.9% (13.1%–14.9%) 76% (74.5%–77.4%)
0-19 443 0.45 (0.36–0.57) 0.26 (0.18–0.38) 14% (10.7%–18.1%) 76.9% (70.5%–82.1%)
20-39 3795 0.47 (0.44–0.51) 0.21 (0.19–0.24) 12.5% (11.5%–13.6%) 78% (76.1%–79.8%)
40-69 1625 0.58 (0.52–0.65) 0.32 (0.27–0.38) 16.5% (14.9%–18.5%) 71.8% (68.6%–74.6%)
70- 455 0.49 (0.39–0.59) 0.34 (0.25–0.5) 16.4% (13%–20.5%) 73.8% (67.6%–79.1%)
Phase4 All 5921 0.44 (0.42–0.48) 0.25 (0.23–0.28) 13.7% (12.8%–14.7%) 77.4% (75.8%–78.9%)
0-19 298 0.27 (0.17–0.38) 0.16 (0.09–0.28) 9.1% (5.9%–13.6%) 85.5% (78.9%–90.7%)
20-39 2619 0.36 (0.32–0.39) 0.23 (0.19–0.27) 12.1% (10.8%–13.6%) 80.7% (78.5%–82.7%)
40-69 2151 0.48 (0.44–0.53) 0.39 (0.33–0.46) 17.3% (15.6%–19.2%) 73.1% (70.3%–75.7%)
70- 834 0.70 (0.58–0.82) 0.19 (0.16–0.24) 12.9% (10.9%–15.2%) 74.6% (70.1%–78.5%)

Prop80% is the proportion of cases responsible for 80% of all cases.

⁎⁎

Prop0% is the proportion of cases that did not generate any secondary transmissions.