Table 6.

Prediction based on the ARIMA model of death cases for the selected countries at 95% confidence interval level for the next 27.

Model type	United Kingdom ARIMA (3,0,4)			South Africa ARIMA (0,1,4)			Nigeria ARIMA (Brown)			Brazil ARIMA (1,0,7)
Date	Forecast	LCL	UCL	Forecast	LCL	UCL	Forecast	LCL	UCL	Forecast	LCL	UCL
3/1/2021	1226	389	1596	219	166	463	12	4	20	769	307	1230
3/2/2021	1130	856	1507	217	179	513	12	4	20	883	400	1365
3/3/2021	770	753	1159	217	208	576	12	4	20	1016	514	1518
3/4/2021	1017	381	1428	219	227	625	12	4	20	1104	599	1610
3/5/2021	1252	607	1672	219	223	629	12	4	21	1142	635	1648
3/6/2021	894	831	1321	220	219	633	13	5	21	1104	597	1611
3/7/2021	815	466	1258	223	215	637	13	5	21	1050	536	1565
3/8/2021	1194	372	1652	226	211	641	13	5	21	1044	505	1583
3/9/2021	1092	736	1556	224	207	645	13	5	21	1038	476	1599
3/10/2021	756	628	1229	224	204	649	13	5	22	1031	448	1615
3/11/2021	999	282	1488	226	200	652	13	5	22	1025	421	1630
3/12/2021	1212	509	1710	226	196	656	14	5	22	1019	394	1644
3/13/2021	868	714	1371	228	193	659	14	5	22	1013	369	1657
3/14/2021	804	364	1320	231	189	663	14	5	23	1007	345	1669
3/15/2021	1163	287	1691	234	186	666	14	5	23	1001	321	1680
3/16/2021	1055	634	1589	231	182	670	14	5	23	995	298	1691
3/17/2021	741	522	1283	232	179	673	14	5	23	988	275	1702
3/18/2021	980	200	1535	233	176	677	14	5	24	982	253	1711
3/19/2021	1173	425	1735	233	172	680	15	5	24	977	232	1721
3/20/2021	843	612	1409	235	169	683	15	5	24	971	211	1730
3/21/2021	792	276	1370	238	166	686	15	5	25	965	191	1738
3/22/2021	1132	215	1719	241	163	689	15	5	25	959	171	1746
3/23/2021	1020	545	1612	239	160	693	15	5	25	953	152	1754
3/24/2021	728	429	1326	239	156	696	15	5	25	947	133	1761
3/25/2021	961	129	1571	241	153	699	15	5	26	942	115	1768
3/26/2021	1136	351	1752	241	150	702	16	5	26	936	97	1775
3/27/2021	819	520	1439	243	147	705	16	5	26	930	79	1782