Table 2.

Future strategies (2020 onwards) considered in the present study

Strategy name	AS coverage	PS	VC	Algorithm specificity (%)
MeanAS + VC (Imperfect Spec)	Mean of 2015–2019	Continued	Continued	$\approx$ 99.93
MeanAS + VC	Mean of 2015–2019	Continued	Continued	100
MeanAS	Mean of 2015–2019	Continued	Stopped in 2021	100
MaxAS	Max of 2000–2019	Continued	Stopped in 2021	100
Stop2021	None from 2021 (mean in 2020)	Continued	Stopped in 2021	100

This table shows the five possible future strategies we simulated using the ensemble model. We denote the coverage of AS, assumptions around PS detection rates, the use of VC and the specificity of the AS algorithm in defining cases in the different columns

AS active screening, PS passive screening, VC vector control, Max maximum