Table 3.

Estimated percentage reduction in transmission by intervention since intensified strategy began

Transmission reduction by intervention	Transmission	Transmission
	2013–2015	2013–2019
Total reduction (%)	100.0 (99.7–100.0)	100.0 (100.0–100.0)
Percentage of reduction attributed to AS and baseline PS	19.9 (12.8–28.5)	41.3 (27.4–55.7)
Percentage of reduction attributed to enhanced PS	5.6 (1.2–18.3)	23.6 (8.3–43.8)
Percentage of reduction attributed to VC	74.0 (57.8–84.4)	34.7 (13.9–58.2)

Attributions to each strategy component are based on counterfactual strategy simulations. Medians are given with 95% credible intervals in brackets

AS active screening, PS passive screening, VC vector control