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. 2022 Jan 10;9:801763. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2021.801763

Figure 1.

Figure 1

Model calibration and estimation of vaccine effectiveness on the variant by daily COVID-19 cases, deaths, vaccination, and proportion of the dominant variant (B.1.1.7) in the US. (A) Model calibration based on 15-month daily reported COVID-19 cases in the US, the blue area denotes the 95% confidence interval, the black dash-dotted and dotted lines denote the beginning date of vaccination and reporting the variant, the green and cyan dashed lines denote the daily reported cases of wild type and the variant. (B) Model calibration based on 15-month daily reported COVID-19 deaths in the US. (C) Reported and model-fitted proportion of the variant (of all reported cases) in the US. (D) Reported and model-fitted vaccination coverage (≥1 doses) in the US.