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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2022 Feb 1.
Published in final edited form as: J Hepatol. 2021 Sep 23;76(2):294–301. doi: 10.1016/j.jhep.2021.09.009

Table 3.

Cumulative HCC risk by risk category of HBV-HCC models.

Models HCC risk at 3 years
(%, 95% CI)
HCC risk at 5 years
(%, 95% CI)

REACH-B
 Low 2.5% (1.0–2.4) 3.0% (2.1–4.2)
 Intermediate 2.5% (1.6–3.8) 5.2% (3.7–7.3)
 High 2.6% (0.4–17.2) 2.6% (0.4–17.2)
PAGE-B
 Low 0% (n.a.)* 0% (n.a.)*
 Intermediate 0.8% (0.4–1.5) 1.9% (1.2–3.1)
 High 4.5% (3.5–5.9) 6.5% (5.0–8.3)
mPAGE-B
 Low 0% (n.a.)* 0% (n.a.)*
 Intermediate 1.0% (0.4–2.2) 1.4% (0.7–2.9)
 High 3.0% (2.2–4.3) 6.6% (5.1–8.5)
CU-HCC
 Low 0.6% (0.2–1.6) 1.1% (0.5–2.4)
 Intermediate 1.5% (0.7–3.1) 4.2% (2.5–6.8)
 High 3.9% (2.7–5.7) 7.3% (5.4–10.0)
HCC-RESCUE
 Low 0% (n.a.)* 0.2% (0–1.4)
 Intermediate 1.3% (0.8–2.3) 3.4% (2.4–4.8)
 High 4.0% (2.9–5.7) 6.9% (5.1–9.2)
CMAD
 Low 0% (n.a.)* 0.2% (0.0–1.6)
 Intermediate 1.2% (0.7–2.0) 3.1% (2.2–4.3)
 High 5.0% (3.5–7.2) 8.3% (6.1–11.2)
APA-B
 Low 1.0% (0.6–1.8) 2.2% (1.5–3.4)
 Intermediate 6.4% (0.4–11.1) 12.8% (8.0–18.1)
 High 13.6% (7.2–24.8) 15.9% (8.7–28.1)
REAL-B
 Low 0% (n.a.)* 0% (n.a.)*
 Intermediate 1.3% (0.8–2.2) 3.1% (2.2–4.5)
 High 6.5% (4.4–9.6) 10.7% (7.6–14.8)
AASL-HCC
 Low 0% (n.a.)* 0% (n.a.)*
 Intermediate 1.0% (0.6–1.7) 2.5% (1.8–3.7)
 High 5.2% (3.5–7.6) 9.5% (7.0–12.9)
RWS-HCC
 Low 0.3% (0.1–1.0) 1.2% (0.6–2.2)
 High 4.1% (3.0–5.7) 7.4% (5.6–9.6)

Cox-proportional hazard models were used to calculate HCC risk at 3 years and 5 years. AASL-HCC, age, albumin, sex, liver cirrhosis-HCC; AFP, alpha-fetoprotein; APA-B, age, platelet, AFP; CAMD, cirrhosis, age, male sex, and diabetes mellitus; CU-HCC, Chinese University HCC; HCC, hepatocellular carcinoma; HCC-RESCUE, HCC-Risk Estimating Score in CHB patients Under Entecavir; mPAGE-B, modified PAGE-B; REACH-B, Risk estimation for hepatocellular carcinoma in chronic hepatitis B; REAL-B, Real-World Effectiveness From the Asia Pacific Rim Liver Consortium for HBV Risk Score; RWS-HCC, Real-world risk score for hepatocellular carcinoma.

*

n.a.: not applicable due to no case in the category.