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. 2022 Jan 27;37(2):167–172. doi: 10.1007/s10654-021-00836-3

Table 1.

P-cases in week 40–51, 2020, versus average P-cases week 40–51 in 2017–19

Avg. number of weekly cases Output from Poisson regression
2017–2019 2020 Difference Coeff 95% CI p value
Panel A. All (age 11 +)
P-cases 35,610 42,387 6777 0.17 0.16–0.19  < 0.001
Non-severe P-cases 16,276 20,359 4083 0.22 0.20–0.24  < 0.001
Severe P-cases 20,060 22,912 2852 0.13 0.11–0.15  < 0.001
P-cases, controlling for week 1–10 0.09 0.07–0.11  < 0.001
Panel B. Subgroup P-cases
Age 11–17 1444 1807 363 0.22 0.16–0.29  < 0.001
Age 18–30 7253 8356 1103 0.14 0.11–0.17  < 0.001
Age 31–64 21,909 25,872 3963 0.17 0.15–0.18  < 0.001
Age 65 +  5004 6352 1348 0.24 0.20–0.28  < 0.001
Male 13,631 15,682 2051 0.14 0.12–0.16  < 0.001
Female 21,979 26,705 4726 0.19 0.18–0.21  < 0.001
Urban 5002 6219 1217 0.22 0.18–0.25  < 0.001
Rural 25,605 29,949 4344 0.16 0.14–0.17  < 0.001
Northern-most counties 2498 2737 239 0.09 0.04–0.15 0.001
Panel C. 8 most common psychological diagnoses/symptoms
P01 Feeling anxious 2657 3194 537 0.18 0.13–0.24  < 0.001
P02 Acute stress reaction 3945 4724 779 0.18 0.14–0.22  < 0.001
P03 Feeling depressed 1570 2023 453 0.25 0.19–0.32  < 0.001
P06 Sleep disturbance 3380 4406 1026 0.27 0.22–0.31  < 0.001
P29 Psych. symptom other 3608 4321 713 0.18 0.14–0.22  < 0.001
P73 Affective psychosis 1225 1453 228 0.17 0.09–0.25  < 0.001
P74 Anxiety disorder 2963 3677 714 0.22 0.17–0.26  < 0.001
P76 Depressive disorder 8980 10,235 1255 0.13 0.10–0.16  < 0.001
P81 Hyperkinetic disorder 1420 2044 624 0.36 0.30–0.43  < 0.001
P82 PTSD 1263 1761 498 0.33 0.26–0.40  < 0.001

A “P-case” is a GP consultation that related to a psychological symptom, complaint or diagnosis based on the ICPC-2 classification system. In row 4, we used four observations: average weekly cases for week 1–10 in 2017–2019, average weekly cases for week 40–51 in 2017–2019, average weekly cases for week 1–10 in 2020, and average weekly cases for week 40–51 in 2020. Using this sample, we ran a Poisson regression, regressing average number of weekly cases on a dummy for year 2020, a dummy for week 40–51, and the interaction of year 2020 and week 40–51. We report the coefficient of this interaction, which can be interpreted as the extra percentage increase in average weekly cases from 2017–2019 to 2020 compared to the increase in average weekly cases from 2017–2019 to 2020 for the pre-Covid part of the calendar year